Chess · resolved market
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddbfffed3078bc556ff8fabc7ff92515c092b5f38db97e557b5f8ee8af8b2597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $720,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $769,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 72c | 73,500$53,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,277.25 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 25c | 27,821$6,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,980.18 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…d322backed Yes | 30c | 13,590$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,472.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +65%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes | 18c | 12,590$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,301.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…f5ecbacked Yes | 16c | 12,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Yes | 73c | 11,798$8,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.27 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 67c | 11,487$7,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…9a20backed Yes | 57c | 11,465$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,983.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…7a13backed Yes | 71c | 11,356$8,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 48c | 9,842$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.23 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Yes | 53c | 8,977$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…b62ebacked Yes | 18c | 7,624$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,217.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 34c | 7,428$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,911.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 21c | 6,666$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,259.88 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 6,402$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 60c | 6,087$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.21 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes | 20c | 5,686$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a4…ef31backed No | 72c | 5,024$3,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked No | 2c | 5,003$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…f919backed Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Yes | 79c | 4,799$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…ca97backed No | 55c | 4,776$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 15c | 4,665$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.06 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked Yes | 41c | 4,518$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 51c | 4,405$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.68 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…971bbacked No | 11c | 4,398$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed Yes | 66c | 4,171$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…c7cabacked Yes | 47c | 4,040$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 31c | 3,626$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.14 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,585$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 52c | 3,138$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…723abacked Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…f6ebbacked Yes | 54c | 2,881$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 22c | 2,800$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.74 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…f1a7backed Yes | 17c | 2,780$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…5732backed Yes | 20c | 2,637$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 15c | 2,559$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.77 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf71…c21dbacked No | 26c | 2,455$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…a6b2backed No | 17c | 2,340$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 3c | 2,315$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbd…0401backed Yes | 30c | 2,308$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +328.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…071fbacked No | 45c | 2,232$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 39c | 2,156$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.41 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…bf13backed No | 27c | 2,046$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 12c | 1,948$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked No | 15c | 1,944$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.03 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 1,934$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 3c | 1,925$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…ec94backed Yes | 16c | 1,888$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 16c | 1,868$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…77a5backed No | 7c | 1,760$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,748$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 56c | 1,648$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 36c | 1,566$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…7a20backed Yes | 51c | 1,555$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Yes | 39c | 1,525$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c2…d95fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,504$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…de48backed Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 1,493$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,454$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked Yes | 66c | 1,429$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.92 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 76c | 1,400$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…5d51backed Yes | 14c | 1,384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 51c | 1,338$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.62 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 38c | 1,318$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…501dbacked No | 29c | 1,308$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.34 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 27c | 1,287$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 68c | 1,250$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…6161backed No | 49c | 1,227$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 32c | 1,200$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…840bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +490%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 16c | 1,156$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…9c50backed Yes | 28c | 1,090$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 17c | 1,082$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,057$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 46c | 1,021$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…8cf5backed Yes | 28c | 1,014$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…b95dbacked No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked No | 50c | 999.98$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 4c | 936.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 21c | 932.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…ae13backed Yes | 15c | 811.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +235.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 807.71$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 800$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed No | 8c | 784.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 73c | 784.07$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d82dbacked Yes | 22c | 768.18$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…a397backed Yes | 23c | 760.27$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…5548backed Yes | 50c | 751.15$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…9739backed No | 49c | 750.14$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed No | 15c | 749.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…613bbacked Yes | 40c | 726.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…a4e3backed No | 15c | 707.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed Yes | 14c | 651.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +267.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…ca8cbacked Yes | 42c | 640.71$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?this page
- Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.