NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf658b4d5209ae764a79762def6f3077d208cefb367a6d8eb75c92b0e4200902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,560,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,871,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,560,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 44c | 456,450$200,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255,611.79 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 56c | 283,259$158,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,625.06 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs | 43c | 246,253$105,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,622.05 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 40c | 214,494$85,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,673.34 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Spurs | 44c | 136,364$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,363.64 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Rockets | 57c | 131,137$75,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,167.86 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Rockets | 58c | 125,209$72,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,369.3 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Rockets | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 46c | 73,779$33,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,923.11 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Rockets | 37c | 54,187$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 45c | 52,958$23,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,748 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 56c | 44,926$25,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,370.69 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Rockets | 57c | 38,587$21,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,866.86 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rockets | 58c | 38,097$22,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,096.23 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…3067backed Rockets | 0c | 35,260$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Rockets | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Spurs | 44c | 25,000$10,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,001.82 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…77d4backed Rockets | 58c | 23,890$13,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,856.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Spurs | 40c | 23,578$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,077.52 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…4327backed Spurs | 42c | 21,871$9,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,684.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Rockets | 65c | 21,198$13,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,754.19 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Spurs | 35c | 20,368$7,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,238.99 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…ec9dbacked Spurs | 46c | 20,102$9,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,934.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Rockets | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.89 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rockets | 56c | 18,061$10,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,159.7 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…76bdbacked Rockets | 56c | 17,980$10,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,068.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Rockets | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Rockets | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Spurs | 30c | 17,516$5,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,282.58 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Rockets | 67c | 15,187$10,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,173.15 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Rockets | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.9 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked Rockets | 57c | 14,000$7,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,980 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Spurs | 42c | 13,000$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,539.99 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Spurs | 42c | 12,910$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,487.8 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Spurs | 78c | 12,820$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.57 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Spurs | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.96 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Spurs | 46c | 11,695$5,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,333.96 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 48c | 11,270$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,368.64 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Rockets | 57c | 10,646$6,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,068.2 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Rockets | 57c | 10,526$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Rockets | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockets | 56c | 9,999$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.44 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Rockets | 73c | 9,589$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Rockets | 80c | 9,387$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 42c | 9,196$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.68 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Rockets | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.91 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Rockets | 57c | 8,695$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.21 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 57c | 8,585$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Rockets | 22c | 8,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.94 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Spurs | 43c | 7,601$3,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,354.83 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Spurs | 42c | 7,463$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Rockets | 58c | 7,384$4,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Rockets | 56c | 7,301$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.55 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Spurs | 43c | 7,300$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Spurs | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Spurs | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Spurs | 44c | 6,805$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.55 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Spurs | 43c | 6,802$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.2 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 41c | 6,802$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Spurs | 45c | 6,739$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.6 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 61c | 6,037$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Rockets | 56c | 6,016$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.89 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Spurs | 44c | 6,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.38 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Rockets | 0c | 5,900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Spurs | 42c | 5,777$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.66 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…3d6abacked Rockets | 49c | 5,740$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.63 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rockets | 56c | 5,725$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Spurs | 44c | 5,649$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.59 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…351dbacked Spurs | 25c | 5,576$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 20c | 5,418$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.58 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rockets | 5c | 5,390$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Spurs | 34c | 5,266$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.2 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockets | 18c | 5,041$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.56 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Rockets | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…7c70backed Rockets | 71c | 4,969$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.16 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Spurs | 44c | 4,905$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.93 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…2b9abacked Rockets | 54c | 4,662$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.48 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 43c | 4,585$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.09 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Rockets | 57c | 4,580$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.43 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Rockets | 56c | 4,300$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Spurs | 27c | 4,252$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.08 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Rockets | 57c | 4,185$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.35 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 56c | 4,113$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rockets | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba8…52bfbacked Rockets | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc359…9a41backed Spurs | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Spurs | 43c | 3,900$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rockets | 61c | 3,885$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.28 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Rockets | 56c | 3,864$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.97 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Spurs | 27c | 3,693$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs | 42c | 3,672$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.75 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Spurs | 42c | 3,350$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.2 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Spurs | 42c | 3,316$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.27 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Spurs | 69c | 3,275$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.01 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 71c | 3,244$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Spurs | 42c | 3,235$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.54 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…a9f2backed Rockets | 65c | 3,231$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 58c | 3,215$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.72 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Rockets | 74c | 3,204$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.72 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Rocketsthis page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.