TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,560,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,871,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,560,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Spurs44c456,450$200,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255,611.7987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rockets56c283,259$158,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158,625.062,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs43c246,253$105,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140,622.0523257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets40c214,494$85,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,673.341,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Spurs44c136,364$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,363.649043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Rockets57c131,137$75,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,167.8651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Rockets58c125,209$72,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,369.340446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Rockets56c100,000$56,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs46c73,779$33,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,923.112,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b4…13c9backed Rockets37c54,187$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.621330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets45c52,958$23,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,7481,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets56c44,926$25,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,370.691,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Rockets57c38,587$21,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,866.8639842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rockets58c38,097$22,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,096.2314358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b33…3067backed Rockets0c35,260$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Rockets0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Spurs44c25,000$10,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,001.8219653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0dec…77d4backed Rockets58c23,890$13,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,856.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Spurs40c23,578$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,077.523938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7070…4327backed Spurs42c21,871$9,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,684.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Rockets65c21,198$13,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,754.199857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Spurs35c20,368$7,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,238.995139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb99d…ec9dbacked Spurs46c20,102$9,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,934.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Rockets56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.8935450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Rockets56c18,061$10,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,159.761851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e3…76bdbacked Rockets56c17,980$10,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,068.681233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Rockets57c17,544$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Rockets57c17,544$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0007758.4%45 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Spurs30c17,516$5,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,282.5810952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Rockets67c15,187$10,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,173.1511252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Rockets57c15,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,549.914243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked Rockets57c14,000$7,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9802334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Spurs42c13,000$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,539.996454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Spurs42c12,910$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,487.830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Spurs78c12,820$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.578451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Spurs44c12,000$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,719.9619751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Spurs46c11,695$5,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,333.969336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets48c11,270$5,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,368.642,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed Rockets57c10,646$6,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,068.27441.9%31 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Rockets57c10,526$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Rockets56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockets56c9,999$5,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.4424554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Rockets73c9,589$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0004254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Rockets80c9,387$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs42c9,196$3,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,333.681,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Rockets57c9,000$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,129.9166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Rockets57c8,695$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,956.2116863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets57c8,585$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.474,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd56d…bd7dbacked Rockets22c8,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.948647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Spurs43c7,601$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,354.8348944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7555…49d2backed Spurs42c7,463$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,352.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Rockets58c7,384$4,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2837638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Rockets56c7,301$4,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,088.5511244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Spurs43c7,300$3,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,16114055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Spurs43c7,000$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,99019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Spurs43c7,000$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,99032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Spurs44c6,805$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.559743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Spurs43c6,802$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,877.228649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets41c6,802$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.588,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Spurs45c6,739$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,731.67960.8%48 W · 31 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets61c6,037$3,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,653.455,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Rockets56c6,016$3,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.897946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Spurs44c6,000$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,34035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs42c5,952$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.3876746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Rockets0c5,900$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.58820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Spurs42c5,777$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350.6662347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b33…3d6abacked Rockets49c5,740$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.638531.8%27 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rockets56c5,725$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20692753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Spurs44c5,649$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.5920947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x022a…351dbacked Spurs25c5,576$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,176.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick44cpaid+101.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets20c5,418$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.583,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Rockets5c5,390$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Spurs34c5,266$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.235650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockets18c5,041$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.5681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Rockets56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…7c70backed Rockets71c4,969$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,511.168357.8%48 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Spurs44c4,905$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,746.9311737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd50f…2b9abacked Rockets54c4,662$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.4814733.3%49 W · 98 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs43c4,585$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.092,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Rockets57c4,580$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.4339958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Rockets56c4,300$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4088348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Spurs27c4,252$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.089117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Rockets57c4,185$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.3510045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets56c4,113$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rockets56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba8…52bfbacked Rockets58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc359…9a41backed Spurs42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Spurs43c3,900$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22211256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Rockets61c3,885$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.2827251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Rockets56c3,864$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.9740350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3873…c068backed Spurs27c3,693$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,69614537.9%55 W · 90 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs42c3,672$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.751,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Spurs42c3,350$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.218553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Spurs42c3,316$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.2728554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Spurs69c3,275$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.012369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets71c3,244$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Spurs42c3,235$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.5416945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b69…a9f2backed Rockets65c3,231$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1003452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets58c3,215$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.721,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Rockets74c3,204$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.7227865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.