NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7a41932ea473c327c7bf5a1af511d42c5ecad884513b67e47726acec4381814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Rockets, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs | 49c | 25,979$12,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,251.78 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets | 51c | 23,110$11,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,786.1 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 49c | 20,785$10,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600.24 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Rockets | 51c | 16,667$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Spurs | 50c | 15,000$7,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,501.8 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Rockets | 50c | 14,800$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400.12 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 50c | 11,242$5,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.86 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 50c | 10,050$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rockets | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Rockets | 51c | 5,315$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.9 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Rockets | 52c | 5,122$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.67 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Rockets | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 50c | 4,415$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Rockets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 50c | 3,226$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.07 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 50c | 2,486$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Rockets | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Spurs | 48c | 1,780$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.07 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 50c | 1,606$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 49c | 1,348$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Spurs | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Spurs | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.59 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 55c | 993.51$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 50c | 990$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Rockets | 51c | 990$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…da0ebacked Rockets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Spurs | 49c | 961.47$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.35 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Rockets | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Spurs | 49c | 877.61$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.58 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Rockets | 51c | 821.56$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Rockets | 52c | 770.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 54c | 617.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ca…2a84backed Spurs | 49c | 612.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Rockets | 52c | 526.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.03 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Rockets | 52c | 520$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs | 49c | 514.24$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.26 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 48c | 502.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Rockets | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 50c | 487$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Rockets | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Rockets | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Spurs | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rockets | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Spurs | 48c | 267.54$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs | 59c | 238.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Spurs | 58c | 220.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Rockets | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Spurs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Rockets | 48c | 207.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…b5e8backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Rockets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Spurs | 49c | 195.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 52c | 175$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Spurs | 40c | 151.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 50c | 137.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 48c | 116.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Rockets | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Spurs | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Spurs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Rockets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Rockets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Rockets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Spurs | 29c | 90.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Rockets | 71c | 82.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Rockets | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…38b9backed Spurs | 50c | 80.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Spurs | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Spurs | 26c | 76.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 52c | 71.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Spurs | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Rockets | 51c | 60.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…432dbacked Spurs | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…7701backed Rockets | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…a6bdbacked Spurs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…1db1backed Rockets | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Rockets | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Spurs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6a…e018backed Spurs | 50c | 40.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Spurs | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Rockets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Rockets | 51c | 37.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Spurs | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Rockets | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…e158backed Rockets | 51c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Rockets | 52c | 26.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Rockets | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…16f1backed Rockets | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Rockets | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a8…8707backed Rockets | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8779…08cfbacked Spurs | 49c | 21.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…da92backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…fe77backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. RocketsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.