NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aaa4bd57e92a021cb9c08ced4d446377794cf79f993d939bfff78ae0f94b4db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 4,935$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.73 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 4,432$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 37c | 1,918$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 1,582$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.82 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 61c | 1,480$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 48c | 1,377$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.08 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,200$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Over | 69c | 1,071$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.99 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 1,020$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.11 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 897.04$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.46 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 859.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 63c | 782.81$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.94 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 52c | 712$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.24 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 37c | 679.9$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.79 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 676.04$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.54 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 606.93$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 53c | 426.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 76c | 358.73$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.67 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 60c | 311.87$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.83 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 65c | 284.84$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.39 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under | 48c | 262.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 238.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 61c | 234.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 233$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 222$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 63c | 204.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 192.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 47c | 176.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 46c | 168.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 33c | 157.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 154.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 58c | 140.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 135.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 17c | 134.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 124.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 124.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 51c | 117.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 110.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…3111backed Over | 53c | 93.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 81.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 55c | 78.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 61c | 64.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 61.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 42c | 61.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…5358backed Over | 68c | 59.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Over | 58c | 50.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 53c | 30.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Over | 52c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 54c | 28.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 53c | 27.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 53c | 25.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…4a4bbacked Under | 49c | 24.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.42per pick | 47cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Under | 77c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. RocketsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.