TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under54c80,000$43,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,799.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over46c28,267$13,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,002.961656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c22,359$10,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,341.189,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c10,189$4,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,686.942,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c9,000$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2301,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over47c6,409$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.2265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c5,523$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,630.32,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c5,495$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.371,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Under53c4,704$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.951942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c4,565$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c4,399$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.653,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under52c3,876$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.2412855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under53c3,800$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78624549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over48c3,750$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8008451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over48c3,304$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.243,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.7856453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over54c2,662$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.893,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over46c1,862$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.5187750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c1,802$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.223,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under50c1,682$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.9325248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over60c1,504$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c1,476$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.728,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Under54c1,087$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006055%33 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4603551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under54c925$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.590957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under53c826.42$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.4243453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over5c625.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0867921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c593.08$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over38c526$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8835326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c502.1$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over46c431.86$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6643244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18832450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Over37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14817331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3726553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over46c311.35$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.111,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Over60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over48c266.15$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7516347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over46c218.61$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5621645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9416052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under43c198.07$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.948956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over47c193$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7123946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1927443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under53c173$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.311,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over47c161$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.679642.7%41 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fb5…2112backed Under61c146.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.438461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0d1…e145backed Under54c135.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.191323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over41c129.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.545,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…b548backed Over74c125.53$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0250…278ebacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under26c116.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.523047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c112.14$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.582,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4942551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4741354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under54c96.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.31,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.593455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.228943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa868…9d9fbacked Over79c81.62$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.48366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec89…8de0backed Under52c71.83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over46c71.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.853043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2442143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c60.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.434,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e9f…5cf0backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17d4…d0eabacked Under48c56.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.253148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.851,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313735.8%49 W · 88 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…a978backed Under42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over23c45.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.321,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Over51c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.414137.6%53 W · 88 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over46c39.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2745460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef50…fddcbacked Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.450%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over46c38.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5439756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under54c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.485052%26 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0443647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb1…5ddabacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042190.5%19 W · 2 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+44%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under70c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.513464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.247723.4%18 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.676054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdde9…95c1backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Under54c27.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.775450%27 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x768a…96a6backed Over76c27.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick78cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under55c26.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.840960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over47c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1639041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Under55c25.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6816343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked Over48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under54c20.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2933552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.214252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c8…b095backed Under79c19.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Over58c19.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3716354%88 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.