TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba68…39d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
486
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 66 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT16354%88 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.98
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+90.7%+$12.16
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+168%+$27.08
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+55.4%+$11.94
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+73.3%+$11.31
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+35.6%+$4.6
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.87
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+93.7%+$22.86
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150.3%+$44.26
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25.4%+$5.98
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+68.7%+$19.22
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.2%+$10.85
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.2%+$5.32
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.4%+$22.77
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+82.3%+$9.74
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104.97
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.9%+$9.2
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6368.3%43 W · 20 L+12.3wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+53.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
Middle East — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$16.76
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.77
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.75
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.77
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.17
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.36
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$82.36
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35%+$32.5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$24.42
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.62
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$72.87
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$16.31
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$37.79
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$46.59
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$5.15
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.27
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$137.13
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.56
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$18.22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$81.18
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.58
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$18.42
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.48
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$47.97
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.23
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.92
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.93
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+67%+$77.09
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.53
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$27.12
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$50.65
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$34.45
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.35
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.19
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$37.97
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.92
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.1%+$40.7
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+59.1%+$63.08
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.15
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.27
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$84.11
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$294.63
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$191.88
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$66.49
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+32%+$19.97
San Diego State Aztecs vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+36.6%+$3.69
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. New Mexico State Aggiesbacked Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.7%+$8.08
St. John's Red Storm vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.9%+$17.66
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+62.1%+$7.04
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Morehead State Eaglesbacked Morehead State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.43
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+54.6%+$6.97
Mercer Bears vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.8%+$8.67
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.61
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.83
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+35.6%+$4.27
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+54.5%+$7.08
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.6%+$13.26
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.82
Kraken vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$42.3
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+257.1%+$64.8
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.17
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$39.66
Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.2%+$18.85
Kraken vs. Bruinsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Jets vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$30.67
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+117.4%+$28.17
Flyers vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.85
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$19.53
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.53
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.57
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$81.98
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+136.4%+$122.35
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$91.45
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25.4%+$7.72
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+62.7%+$18.52
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+38.1%+$73.3
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$33.49
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$50.03
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$80.72
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.26
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$26.1
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$146.41
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.21
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$37.67
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.3
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+110.8%+$12.3
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.73
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.49
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54%+$8.11
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+252.7%+$126.66
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$38.29
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$14.96
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$77.35
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$22.13
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.23
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.06
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.1%+$15.49
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$29.54
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.72
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.42
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$104.14
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35.18
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+97.9%+$112.54
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+237.3%+$26.74
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$168.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$34.4
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$26.4
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+84.7%+$39.76
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 3 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$3.71
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.03
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41.7
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+168.3%+$53.83
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.1%+$39.46
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.7%+$89.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$47.36
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.86
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$50.25
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$30
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Leal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+80.8%+$35.74
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Idiris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+82.4%+$37.1
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+30.2%+$5.68
UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$18.81
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Leavitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+361.5%+$82.25
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Carli Judice (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.59
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.1%+$51.09
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+101.1%+$23.57
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+89.3%+$16.64
UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$97.95
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.1
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.39
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$137.09
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$84.84
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$35.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$33.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$21.7
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$26.13
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.33
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+102.7%+$43.32
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+48.2%+$11.49
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+308.1%+$66.54
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+70.6%+$27.63
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+30%+$5.99
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25.4%+$4.33
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+67.5%+$31.35
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+147.2%+$66.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Australian Open Women's: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Emma Raducanubacked Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.69
Australian Open Women's: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Zhuoxuan Baibacked Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$72.84
Australian Open Women's: Olga Danilovic vs Venus Williamsbacked Danilovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.2%+$22.23
Australian Open Men's: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.9%+$35.2
Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Zachary Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$92.48
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.31
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.85
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+107.5%+$35.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.21
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.9%+$18.86
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.64
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.4%+$39.85
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+143.9%+$15.48
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.2%+$27.47
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.7%+$40.03
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-65.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.35
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$14.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.2%+$163.13
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.3%+$21.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$44.14
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$12.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+52.4%+$7.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Monacobacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$11.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.