TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LOUD, RED Canids
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xebc7…4003backed RED Canids55c11,454$6,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,354.2528361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD41c6,223$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,695.341,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…5f44backed RED Canids1c5,555$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.77535.7%3 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-82.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD41c5,271$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.851,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked LOUD41c4,158$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.586237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD38c3,541$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.791,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed RED Canids60c3,422$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.2469756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked RED Canids69c2,378$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.521,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked RED Canids57c2,000$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.874151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LOUD36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28063746.5%296 W · 341 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LOUD41c1,682$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.113,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed LOUD28c1,600$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.9242050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked RED Canids63c1,599$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00046552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked LOUD16c1,556$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.976149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked RED Canids55c1,145$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.188254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed RED Canids25c1,084$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.761,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed LOUD41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59013946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed RED Canids21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107889.8%77 W · 711 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked RED Canids64c914.75$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.671,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked RED Canids2c871.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.432323.9%9 W · 223 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed RED Canids41c691.69$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.530139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked RED Canids57c528.77$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed RED Canids59c525.42$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31028458.5%166 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed RED Canids22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11046339.5%183 W · 280 L-37.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed RED Canids60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked LOUD45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9995951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LOUD40c487$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.911,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe46a…f06abacked LOUD31c486.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.656159%36 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOUD33c430$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.493,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked RED Canids75c399.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7e4…2a20backed RED Canids57c390$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e6…a23ebacked LOUD43c390$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed RED Canids59c381.7$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8254944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed RED Canids57c331.27$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0816154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80e4…98bebacked RED Canids61c329$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.623040%12 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed RED Canids55c327.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LOUD64c311.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2757151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed RED Canids63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18956650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…7909backed RED Canids71c295.48$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.23557.1%20 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD35c264.28$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.542,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf4…b11abacked LOUD40c249.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.985858.6%34 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked RED Canids33c235.75$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.654553.3%24 W · 21 L+11.4wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+89.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids37c234.17$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.632,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed RED Canids56c232.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13092342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked RED Canids56c226.61$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2426049.2%128 W · 132 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked RED Canids59c222.72$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.521059%124 W · 86 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked RED Canids72c204.39$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1663551.8%329 W · 306 L+39.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed LOUD35c188$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.230742%129 W · 178 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed RED Canids57c175.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed LOUD56c170$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1943947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed RED Canids62c168.58$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.971,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed LOUD32c167$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0512639.7%50 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked LOUD25c166.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.072,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked RED Canids68c161.76$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11059341.8%248 W · 345 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOUD38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5828042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed LOUD80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed LOUD33c124.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.261,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed RED Canids54c117.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7117249.4%85 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked LOUD47c115$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6630545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked LOUD58c112$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8737345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f3…c784backed LOUD34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.944969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed LOUD46c87.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7511954.6%65 W · 54 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked RED Canids29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2564048.1%308 W · 332 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked LOUD48c77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9945344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed RED Canids67c73.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.961,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked RED Canids21c72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.262,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed LOUD79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.298332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed RED Canids51c60.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.863826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed LOUD45c58.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2175142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked RED Canids72c55.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013556.3%76 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed RED Canids29c55.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.041,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed RED Canids66c53.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6423348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked LOUD38c52.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4452049.2%256 W · 264 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked RED Canids58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011145%50 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb246…d98abacked LOUD35c51.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.474040%16 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb7…62b8backed RED Canids50c50.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c6…9947backed LOUD46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.488545.9%39 W · 46 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed RED Canids63c39.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7148553.4%259 W · 226 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b3a…aaa2backed RED Canids46c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7811847.5%56 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed LOUD39c37.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.598438.1%32 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked RED Canids55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2079356.2%446 W · 347 L-2.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed RED Canids53c35.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9454054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked RED Canids56c34.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1621457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ba7…ac67backed LOUD45c33.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked LOUD33c33.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5260124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed LOUD34c32.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2244843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed RED Canids66c32.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2427256.6%154 W · 118 L-1.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed RED Canids62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,22358.1%710 W · 513 L+43.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked LOUD35c30.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5943138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e83…bdd4backed LOUD79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.35560%3 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick77cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…e021backed RED Canids68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked RED Canids66c29.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3319644.9%88 W · 108 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked RED Canids74c28.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.844967.3%33 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dfb…54b2backed RED Canids75c26.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…c819backed LOUD79c24.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.232766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked RED Canids61c20.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.532576%19 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x666e…011abacked RED Canids50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f8…a488backed LOUD50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2864…1010backed RED Canids57c18.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed LOUD80c18.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.711662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.