TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0106…0e63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT11954.6%65 W · 54 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.77
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$31.09
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$28.77
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$15.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.23
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$58.99
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$214.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25%+$32.5
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$177.25
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$281.76
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+123.8%+$154.76
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$45.97
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT7546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+141.3%+$28.27
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$86.21
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+316.7%+$47.5
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$68.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+247.6%+$61.9
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$67.83
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$91.1
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+129.2%+$129.17
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+63.2%+$47.39
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$43.21
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+410.4%+$523.9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+150%+$45
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+63.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+316.7%+$45.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.