Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb23b38217aa306066f9ff5bb70f05484cdabad5d86cae4260984f7ab0601c290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,785 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked LOUD | 36c | 26,911$9,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,624.53 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed LYON | 67c | 14,900$9,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked LOUD | 33c | 13,827$4,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,576.8 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed LOUD | 33c | 13,137$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.68 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…edf1backed LYON | 67c | 10,411$6,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON | 69c | 9,214$6,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.8 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked LYON | 68c | 8,662$5,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.87 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked LYON | 74c | 7,475$5,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.96 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed LOUD | 24c | 7,274$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.78 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed LOUD | 27c | 7,166$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.82 | 230 | 20%46 W · 184 L | -17.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed LOUD | 32c | 6,667$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.37 | 1,158 | 49.2%570 W · 588 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked LOUD | 2c | 6,024$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LOUD | 34c | 5,911$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.62 | 1,596 | 53.7%857 W · 739 L | +56.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed LOUD | 2c | 5,022$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 788 | 9.8%77 W · 711 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked LYON | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed LYON | 75c | 4,697$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.85 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LOUD | 9c | 4,019$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed LOUD | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.96 | 824 | 52.7%434 W · 390 L | +41.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed LYON | 67c | 3,025$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.25 | 363 | 34.4%125 W · 238 L | -21.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…58d3backed LYON | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed LYON | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked LYON | 79c | 2,931$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.6 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…116abacked LOUD | 1c | 2,880$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…761dbacked LOUD | 4c | 2,798$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 205 | 37.6%77 W · 128 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed LOUD | 5c | 2,778$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed LOUD | 33c | 2,650$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.5 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked LOUD | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 634 | 7.1%45 W · 589 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed LYON | 79c | 2,451$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.81 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LYON | 62c | 2,380$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.51 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed LYON | 68c | 2,363$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.83 | 356 | 48.9%174 W · 182 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed LYON | 71c | 2,054$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.53 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked LYON | 79c | 1,937$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked LOUD | 10c | 1,917$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed LYON | 69c | 1,889$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.32 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…da41backed LOUD | 30c | 1,725$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LYON | 65c | 1,703$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.22 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked LOUD | 30c | 1,642$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.1 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…e5babacked LYON | 74c | 1,600$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed LYON | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed LYON | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LYON | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 859 | 42.7%367 W · 492 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked LYON | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked LYON | 67c | 1,447$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.35 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked LYON | 68c | 1,412$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.31 | 776 | 54.8%425 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed LOUD | 6c | 1,357$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked LYON | 68c | 1,353$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 704 | 62.1%437 W · 267 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD | 25c | 1,334$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.63 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed LYON | 64c | 1,328$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.08 | 1,310 | 55.8%731 W · 579 L | +43.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…6353backed LOUD | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed LYON | 77c | 1,296$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.11 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LYON | 62c | 1,233$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.51 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed LYON | 68c | 1,220$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed LOUD | 35c | 1,200$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.85 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed LOUD | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 198 | 39.9%79 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked LOUD | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LOUD | 36c | 1,160$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.78 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed LYON | 67c | 1,159$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.52 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked LYON | 65c | 1,155$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.21 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed LYON | 67c | 1,142$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.79 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed LOUD | 36c | 1,114$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LYON | 77c | 1,111$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.94 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…12e2backed LYON | 79c | 1,036$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.34 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +23.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed LOUD | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.05 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed LOUD | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 429 | 24.2%104 W · 325 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed LOUD | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…4775backed LYON | 76c | 1,000$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed LOUD | 31c | 907.35$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed LOUD | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed LOUD | 12c | 861.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed LOUD | 33c | 854.55$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LOUD | 29c | 842.55$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.51 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked LOUD | 12c | 820$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed LOUD | 5c | 800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 975 | 27.8%271 W · 704 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed LOUD | 28c | 799.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed LYON | 63c | 799.53$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.15 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed LOUD | 35c | 770.76$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LOUD | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed LOUD | 33c | 750$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked LYON | 68c | 740.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.41 | 256 | 68.4%175 W · 81 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed LOUD | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…ee42backed LYON | 66c | 696.72$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.72 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked LYON | 66c | 685.47$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.06 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d83…a627backed LYON | 65c | 679.77$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.23 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed LOUD | 33c | 670$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed LYON | 78c | 637$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed LYON | 72c | 608.11$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked LYON | 64c | 607$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.81 | 1,219 | 54.5%664 W · 555 L | +52.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed LYON | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…bdbabacked LYON | 74c | 600$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed LOUD | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,412 | 43.8%618 W · 794 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked LYON | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed LOUD | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed LOUD | 21c | 542.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed LYON | 64c | 526.31$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed LOUD | 29c | 509.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 1,136 | 43.2%491 W · 645 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed LOUD | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed LYON | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked LOUD | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 963 | 47.7%459 W · 504 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked LOUD | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked LYON | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 2?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 4?LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)LOUD won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)LOUD won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group BLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.