TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LYON, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$724,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,622 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52ec…a6f3backed LYON37c33,319$12,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,485.481143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked LYON51c31,463$16,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,003.824445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LOUD40c25,025$9,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,028.971,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed LYON63c23,227$14,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,666.2731036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed LYON59c20,050$11,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,919.6828361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LOUD28c20,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4001,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOUD39c19,568$7,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,842.2690348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LYON45c16,263$7,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,366.451,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked LOUD31c15,689$4,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,825.5225447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked LOUD30c14,981$4,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,496.8931328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed LYON67c14,759$9,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,824.521,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed LYON61c13,261$8,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,089.0364155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed LYON61c13,000$7,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,929.9716454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed LOUD31c12,633$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,716.7721137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed LOUD37c11,605$4,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,285.4325446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LYON66c10,422$6,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.081,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e23…761dbacked LYON1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020537.6%77 W · 128 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed LYON67c9,633$6,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,427.6967276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked LYON65c8,915$5,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,76525751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed LYON60c8,589$5,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,126.976453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked LOUD39c8,213$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,033.4714835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed LYON58c8,023$4,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,627.898944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LYON64c7,999$5,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,132.041,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed LOUD35c7,663$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,980.9523020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed LOUD33c7,011$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,697.3611645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed LOUD35c6,961$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524.9422624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked LYON79c6,065$4,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,804.0835457.9%205 W · 149 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON60c5,610$3,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.12,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed LOUD56c5,549$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.4427353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON69c5,453$3,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.581,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed LYON66c5,408$3,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.618451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed LOUD40c5,154$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.471,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed LYON69c5,124$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.2331153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed LYON1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LYON64c4,999$3,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.5685442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0e…bf45backed LYON70c4,896$3,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.324238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed LYON59c4,558$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.6760053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed LOUD30c4,330$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.9523439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LYON62c4,250$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.062,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LYON78c4,144$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,218.372,82041.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L-14.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LOUD29c4,119$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.141,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LYON68c4,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70063546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed LYON67c4,000$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.9924065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed LYON51c3,801$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.7597427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LYON58c3,488$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.811,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed LOUD36c3,000$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.9539749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…d6d3backed LOUD46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed LYON2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8358…3c9cbacked LYON1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30224.5%1 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked LOUD57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked LYON70c2,868$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.8776955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked LOUD31c2,700$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.331,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e8e…58d3backed LOUD66c2,561$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.131838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed LOUD28c2,550$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.085954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked LYON52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005928.8%17 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed LOUD44c2,292$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.2333143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON71c2,203$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5541,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed LYON67c2,163$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.956435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed LOUD50c2,017$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.6415062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed LOUD39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2201,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed LOUD33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34028827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed LOUD33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34010450%52 W · 52 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LOUD39c1,946$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.441,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed LOUD31c1,772$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.6839447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed LYON70c1,754$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.8339152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed LOUD33c1,600$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07232844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce53…e5babacked LYON54c1,600$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.83470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed LOUD40c1,550$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9871249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LOUD33c1,506$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.861,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed LOUD39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91513946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked LYON38c1,500$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.6423751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed LOUD40c1,496$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.3445041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed LOUD58c1,454$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.9919839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked LYON70c1,427$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.9923754%128 W · 109 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed LOUD31c1,413$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.6615829.1%46 W · 112 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed LYON24c1,400$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33649549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed LOUD41c1,400$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.291,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8f…6353backed LOUD35c1,400$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9109938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed LOUD29c1,322$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.211,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed LOUD30c1,322$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.792,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed LOUD40c1,300$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78010044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LYON69c1,300$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.4795041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed LYON69c1,280$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.211150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked LOUD31c1,200$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8281,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed LYON68c1,200$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81642148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked LOUD67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39651160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed LYON56c1,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.9986758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98c6…3d1ebacked LOUD50c1,199$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.615246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed LOUD48c1,158$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2976953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed LYON63c1,150$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.1223657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed LYON71c1,107$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.5627248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed LYON2c1,103$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.071,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked LOUD40c1,084$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.470162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed LOUD46c1,076$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.6836943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked LOUD41c1,057$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.259743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LOUD39c1,054$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.021,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed LYON17c1,053$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8444843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed LYON52c1,039$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.458042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed LOUD31c1,032$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.2814335%50 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed LYON71c1,032$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.297169%49 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.