TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,869 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x979b…e47cbacked Under1c6,055$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Over71c1,957$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.6333143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Under57c1,620$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.4861045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under30c1,445$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.81,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over72c1,397$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.642259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under29c1,372$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.593,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under23c1,353$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3214338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Under1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick1cpaid+915.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c1,253$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.572,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under34c999.98$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.992,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over58c924.08$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.313249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over42c766.66$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.282,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under30c522.37$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.211,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under50c505.48$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5250848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6867…f8d2backed Over65c461.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Under51c458.53$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.0463458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Over66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5582161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Over49c451.79$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7317042.9%73 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c03…cb02backed Over52c382$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e84…a3d0backed Over52c373$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Under51c355.76$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.445463%34 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17124649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa82…e97dbacked Over52c284$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under5c267.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4311316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53fd…6026backed Over52c259$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under33c255.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3614637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Over49c254.42$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3350749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7af9…9445backed Under48c237$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99cf…e4e0backed Under48c234$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd65b…c9f4backed Over52c230$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…c7c1backed Over52c211$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Under31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6254129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over53c199.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7643442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2229…f50dbacked Under48c195$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66a…a924backed Under48c194$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4910…dd3fbacked Under48c188$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe259…d8c1backed Under48c185$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7fa…013abacked Over73c178.79$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.793748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3266…586ebacked Under48c178$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed Under60c168.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8212055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x772a…5250backed Under48c168$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked Over66c162.12$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.126759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…6489backed Under48c153$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over49c152.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.881735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under26c149.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.911,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9336752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Under43c125.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Over49c123.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.068852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2165063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c9…887fbacked Over66c119.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.77149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9718…2584backed Under51c114.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.15520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-70.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under67c114$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.441,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95b…0c6fbacked Over43c99.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9916038.8%62 W · 98 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Over44c98.04$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.92347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Under43c95.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.954944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Over53c94.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2619251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under31c87.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.267944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under36c87.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5728559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ea…95d1backed Under57c75.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Under64c71.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6869247%325 W · 367 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd655…b5d5backed Under71c70.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under50c67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4445344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over70c60.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2417544%77 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3a…a2aabacked Over67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.94358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Over43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.145442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…c442backed Over54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.35945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc31…431cbacked Over65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8520171.1%143 W · 58 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under35c52.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3454054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0292…c9a5backed Over68c51.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.71757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under33c51.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9244128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e23…5531backed Over55c50.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.981070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c79…8fffbacked Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1716143.5%70 W · 91 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed Under60c49.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011954.6%65 W · 54 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47f7…8d38backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.455451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Over53c42.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9113154.2%71 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Under33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x723a…c574backed Over65c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick56cpaid+85.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Under35c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6521954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over64c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8841749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under39c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1230545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…0706backed Over71c35.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.075100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under31c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5426940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over56c33.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.612022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf931…edddbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1c…7c70backed Under68c29.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over44c29.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3821457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ba…ee0ebacked Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed Over70c27.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2613057.7%75 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x289b…178cbacked Over53c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.535259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6097…0c79backed Over68c22.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Over71c22.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.695337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec83…31e3backed Over53c20.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.886347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Over72c18.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.