TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf006…bf1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
893
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT69247%325 W · 367 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 692 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.73
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.06
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.44
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$12.19
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$12.41
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$41.77
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.58
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.85
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.44
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.9
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 692 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.72
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$11.55
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Bbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.93
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.74
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.98
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$14.11
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$19
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.19
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$27.24
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$26.73
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.92
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT5442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$36.55
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$34.41
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$34.26
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.04
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.4
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Valorant — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.73
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$53.86
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.93
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$104.73
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.98
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.96
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.