TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,351,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,794,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,351,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,996 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks56c2,325,541$1,309,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015,982.526753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs72c2,265,744$1,627,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627,769.1210944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Knicks55c1,500,343$819,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680,788.782347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Knicks15c999,729$154,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845,366.185354.7%29 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs46c970,096$441,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,394.1811333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x157e…add7backed Knicks22c666,646$143,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522,719.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+149.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks40c660,071$260,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399,131.2564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad9c…9889backed Spurs46c513,871$236,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236,491.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cff…59dbbacked Spurs46c500,000$230,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229,999.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+86.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs46c499,999$229,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229,999.483844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Knicks19c412,138$79,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332,826.1525925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Knicks43c407,837$174,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233,628.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs61c358,259$216,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216,801.0685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Knicks39c356,778$138,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218,587.9417553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5448…1a7bbacked Knicks36c302,951$109,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193,394.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+74.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Knicks55c294,144$161,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,364.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ee…b834backed Knicks10c285,762$29,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255,989.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+859.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Spurs45c285,522$129,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,373.995350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Knicks54c273,467$147,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,794.8424831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Knicks13c269,213$34,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234,682.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+679.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Spurs46c250,000$115,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,00017251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Knicks54c222,500$120,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,35059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682e…70bdbacked Knicks13c220,375$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,374.91650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+116.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc5b…1edcbacked Knicks37c219,671$82,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,671.341250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x910e…8fc3backed Knicks23c212,000$48,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,240.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+117.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Knicks54c208,586$112,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,949.536841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5a…51a1backed Knicks27c199,999$53,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146,999.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+195.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs66c195,656$128,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,394.6256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5601…e1a5backed Knicks28c194,908$55,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139,907.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+77.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks54c179,999$96,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,399.671,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Spurs67c155,773$104,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,597.3319954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Knicks13c154,792$20,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,583.44837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs46c141,304$65,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Knicks23c129,121$29,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,423.54560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Knicks54c126,609$68,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,240.144860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs46c118,419$54,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,472.720454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Knicks7c113,315$7,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,351.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+255.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…1debbacked Knicks54c112,000$60,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,5201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Spurs47c106,383$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0009945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks37c105,150$39,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,089.0518651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Spurs47c103,447$48,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,547.0515140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks34c100,167$33,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,377.2819246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb06…d915backed Spurs46c96,049$44,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,182.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Spurs63c95,843$59,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,904.5939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks45c91,247$40,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,334.4393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Spurs46c90,000$40,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,950.021,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa1…e126backed Knicks55c89,698$49,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,364.011369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Knicks30c89,473$26,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,487.6824159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1da7…8f9cbacked Knicks6c88,983$5,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,643.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs73c86,976$63,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,524.8811946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Knicks23c85,836$19,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,154.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Knicks24c80,702$19,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,338.561369.2%9 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.38per pick31cpaid+105.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Knicks54c80,000$43,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,80015952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30e…15a7backed Knicks14c78,000$11,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,767.86650%3 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+136.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Knicks40c75,000$29,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,249.9449244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Knicks34c73,613$24,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,786.935076%38 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs68c72,493$49,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,346.562,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Knicks41c71,266$29,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,719.49851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e17…d3d8backed Knicks21c70,683$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,183.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+387.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks16c69,045$11,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,658.631,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks25c67,314$17,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,257.061,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Spurs46c63,428$29,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,176.661560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Knicks54c61,247$33,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,241.192343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Knicks47c57,693$27,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,687.624937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs63c57,446$36,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,090.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba62…b19bbacked Knicks54c57,315$30,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,364.811741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b06…fbf1backed Spurs47c56,322$26,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,471.112254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked Knicks23c55,983$12,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,109.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+79.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Knicks54c55,556$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,555.5611654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Knicks25c55,000$13,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,376.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spurs55c53,209$29,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,162.6148845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spurs45c52,524$23,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,635.689745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Spurs78c51,457$39,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,889.272458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f5…5e8abacked Spurs46c50,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,0003770.3%26 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Spurs45c50,000$22,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,7004528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs71c48,080$33,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,911.772,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Knicks55c46,628$25,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,777.218439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Knicks30c46,354$13,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,651.2119937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks22c45,468$9,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,551.531,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Spurs76c44,340$33,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,614.4811738.5%45 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…51dcbacked Knicks55c43,636$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,636.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Knicks29c43,000$12,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,4405942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd105…7b2cbacked Knicks55c42,988$23,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,344.652382.6%19 W · 4 L+8.7wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+97%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Knicks54c42,752$23,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,665.926860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3e…eec6backed Knicks36c42,500$15,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,024.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks34c41,023$14,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,943.953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Knicks22c40,405$8,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,575.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs46c40,000$18,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,40034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f6…15c4backed Knicks23c40,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,8002100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+215%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Spurs45c40,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks18c40,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,899.9828056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Knicks53c40,000$21,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,799.975459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks19c38,119$7,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,739.2589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Knicks29c37,443$10,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,735.79887.5%7 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.52per pick35cpaid+135.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Knicks6c37,208$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,975.751758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+94.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Knicks55c36,364$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,363.641747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc2…fcadbacked Knicks28c35,218$9,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,471.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+261.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20f4…15e1backed Spurs57c35,087$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Knicks17c34,626$5,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,739.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks54c33,739$18,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,684.322,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.