TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,616 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Spurs70c1,679$1,167 inWon+$511.637755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs53c1,530$811 inWon+$719.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks30c1,415$424 inLost-$424.481,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Knicks47c861.7$405 inLost-$4058848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd42c…51adbacked Knicks47c650$305 inLost-$305.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks45c580.49$261 inLost-$261.224,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Spurs55c530.93$292 inWon+$238.926543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Knicks48c497.27$239 inLost-$238.694346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks33c313.15$105 inLost-$104.8730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs52c202.98$106 inWon+$97.4310944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs67c195.01$131 inWon+$64.1325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Knicks48c179.17$86 inLost-$864348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks41c100$41 inLost-$411,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Knicks46c99.97$46 inLost-$45.991,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6d…8b43backed Spurs55c91.67$50 inWon+$41.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+69.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs60c44$26 inWon+$17.63,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Spurs54c42$23 inWon+$19.3236153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks40c30$12 inLost-$1242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed Spurs54c27.78$15 inWon+$12.783330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.