TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs51c25,910$13,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,332.2928056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Spurs26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Spurs44c9,053$3,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,983.3215844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks50c7,150$3,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.6455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Spurs26c7,000$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8204254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs49c4,866$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks46c4,645$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.11,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks50c4,008$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.251,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks63c3,907$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.4393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks52c3,259$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.051,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks50c2,885$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.8518941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks51c2,571$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs31c2,016$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.311,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks52c1,979$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.162,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs9c1,752$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3818445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs41c1,649$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.156141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs42c1,528$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.2553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89d…2ac4backed Knicks56c1,517$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs28c1,448$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.162,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ee…a524backed Knicks50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002070%14 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+56.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks57c1,141$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.8419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff6f…6311backed Spurs36c1,103$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks54c1,081$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.6464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs19c1,067$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.152,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks37c1,052$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.32,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs8c971.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7111333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs30c896.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8819548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Knicks47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0614046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs49c841.7$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Knicks56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.294955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Knicks62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2286163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Knicks49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2553946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Spurs50c497.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks53c450.02$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.81,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Knicks52c436.54$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5410225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks63c422.75$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.951,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4495…e6d7backed Spurs74c400.07$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+138.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs26c366$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs44c314.55$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.41,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks59c278.57$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2118140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Knicks54c268.93$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.491384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks54c237.42$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44b…5accbacked Knicks54c219.93$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Knicks38c210.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.467360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs40c208.58$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Knicks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs46c196$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks62c193.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs45c182$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks51c180.26$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3332654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Spurs26c175.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.632070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Knicks60c165.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5753539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs33c149.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.564431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Knicks50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5034255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Knicks55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7118…a2a5backed Knicks45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Spurs51c97.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.683537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Spurs26c96.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.12951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs33c88.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.133920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1cad…341dbacked Knicks58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks32c84.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.317946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Spurs41c83.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.033333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2189…0e53backed Knicks54c78.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8428…b41fbacked Spurs52c77.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.472035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs49c70.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4212150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs41c66.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0584443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs31c64.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Knicks28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.23745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Knicks41c58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1336045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Spurs29c51.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.045839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Knicks62c49.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.736947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks57c46.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.941,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks48c46.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs43c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7817237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Knicks47c42.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.720647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae7…f4cdbacked Spurs28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225f…322bbacked Spurs56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs50c35.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.725554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Knicks55c32.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4711364.6%73 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Knicks61c29.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6933556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs52c28.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0625340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Knicks56c27.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.294577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Spurs45c26.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8310152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Knicks49c24.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.684736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18c…e6ccbacked Knicks58c24.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Knicks59c19.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.029853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs62c18.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.486038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.