NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94f815bab2c5e816001362e91a19125ddc346ab23ac0a3f0887663cf8301e4e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spurs | 70c | 20,000$13,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.31 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks | 30c | 16,649$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.75 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Knicks | 33c | 4,348$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.84 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 67c | 3,948$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.13 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…16eabacked Knicks | 32c | 2,849$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 67c | 2,183$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.5 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks | 2c | 2,143$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Spurs | 74c | 2,098$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.83 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 21c | 2,006$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.45 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks | 28c | 1,567$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.6 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 32c | 1,201$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.27 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…5794backed Knicks | 33c | 1,200$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +13.2wins | +0.35per pick | 44cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Knicks | 33c | 918.5$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.02 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks | 16c | 627.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Knicks | 24c | 507$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Spurs | 68c | 436.16$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spurs | 68c | 344.81$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Knicks | 12c | 305$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Knicks | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Knicks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 71c | 268.45$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs | 78c | 208$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Knicks | 28c | 178$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks | 22c | 142.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Knicks | 13c | 133$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks | 22c | 124$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks | 32c | 119.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs | 68c | 104$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Knicks | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed Spurs | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Spurs | 69c | 91.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Knicks | 23c | 88.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Spurs | 71c | 72.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Spurs | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Spurs | 72c | 49.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 68c | 49.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Spurs | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Spurs | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Spurs | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs | 76c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…6d41backed Spurs | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…5db1backed Spurs | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.