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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1852…cb4ebacked Spurs42c27,501$11,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,460.628230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs51c9,520$4,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,809.631,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks54c5,331$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.881,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks60c4,995$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks71c4,948$3,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.0564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks65c4,825$3,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.7342842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs29c4,653$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.4111333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks63c4,105$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.6919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks22c3,686$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.681,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks67c3,156$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.952,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks47c2,821$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.331,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Spurs30c1,897$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.975435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks56c1,838$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.0553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks53c1,638$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.9293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs37c1,507$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.831,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs29c1,161$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6918445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks30c1,130$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.6318941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks54c1,099$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.971,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks13c1,027$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.5118140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Knicks59c1,010$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs71c1,008$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.8430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks66c855.56$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.8966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24018643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks60c784.86$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.9434255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Spurs47c778.1$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.032650%13 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs30c776.99$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.150346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks53c757.12$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.1155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks70c733.36$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks48c689.85$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.4330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks52c562.52$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.012,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks51c530.29$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.841,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1453878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs57c495.61$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs29c435.97$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.431,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa68…8d45backed Knicks48c416.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+221.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Knicks24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3041877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+79.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks64c394.97$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks70c380.55$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.151,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Knicks52c374.94$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.253339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1111239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks63c347.47$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.252,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Knicks70c321.65$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.891384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Spurs46c305.42$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.592937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19536243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Knicks50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks70c295.98$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.621,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks71c283.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3113161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Knicks69c230$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.345251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs76c223.51$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Knicks52c193.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.310757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs38c192.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.165762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs51c182.93$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8537652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Knicks56c177.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.35875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks24c164.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Spurs56c163$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.689956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs34c162.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks40c159.93$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7132654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs30c153.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Knicks72c152.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.752958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Knicks64c152.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6620558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Knicks51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3816547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13cc…962bbacked Knicks55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.57100%7 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+126%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks25c140$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0827245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs19c123.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs49c116.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8225340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks57c114.03$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.031,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs46c106.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.594431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Knicks22c103$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3419548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Spurs28c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs28c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Spurs30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x091f…9dffbacked Spurs31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks16c95.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs59c87.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs28c85.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9525954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Spurs51c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3315844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs70c76.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Spurs46c74.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.983333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28d8…eee6backed Knicks49c71.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs49c66.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6112150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Spurs35c62.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0445445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Knicks69c60.26$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4114464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs76c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.612055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks69c58.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0910548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks23c56.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks35c55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46f…0e0fbacked Knicks37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e2d…2b82backed Knicks50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs33c49.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.496141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs79c49.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.363920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xca08…c267backed Spurs52c48.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.17825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Knicks69c47.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.672951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8522753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca0…4b69backed Spurs38c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+131.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Spurs45c44.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.945839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs36c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1233030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…e656backed Spurs37c40.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked Spurs30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Knicks29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.53046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.