TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks15c12,783$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,892.3318941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs50c5,246$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.311,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks48c5,003$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.271,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks24c4,500$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,440.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs26c2,722$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.8511333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Knicks74c2,503$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.71560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks54c2,254$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.6864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks63c1,606$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs66c1,454$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.3330551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2230…69e5backed Knicks73c1,255$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.791758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks66c1,074$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.842,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks65c1,052$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.0842842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Knicks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks68c987.37$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.162,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks74c973.56$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Knicks51c900$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4385971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks43c877.73$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.81,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs26c777$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0250346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks66c719$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.051,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks31c581.88$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.111,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs35c568$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.041,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Knicks38c548.13$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0320558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Knicks63c507$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.596163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd50d…2557backed Spurs28c498.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+210.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs49c449.78$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks70c430.48$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs27c388.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.151,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs26c380$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Knicks40c365$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2193339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks40c349.64$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6425045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks75c333.15$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1511239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs27c307.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.911,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs25c300$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs76c292$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9219548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks75c228.94$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2313161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7065762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks60c198.45$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Knicks70c183.48$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0418557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd5…6a99backed Knicks48c165.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.061478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks16c155.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.825944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Knicks51c149.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.516547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks42c145.95$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.349956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks27c138.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7332654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5af8…9e55backed Spurs27c125.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks29c122.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1652053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs50c116.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs49c101.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Spurs20c100.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Knicks54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4614551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs30c94.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7317237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs49c93.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8237652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks50c89.07$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs71c87.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3112055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks22c83.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.291,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks74c79.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Knicks73c73.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Spurs50c67.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.453333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks73c58.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.930448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs69c57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.492532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Spurs45c54.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3840750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs27c52.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.339853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Spurs27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs55c46.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7112150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Spurs44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Knicks25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Spurs51c39.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Spurs45c35.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.149247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Spurs70c34.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9210152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks45c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6834255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks73c31.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.610548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed Knicks73c31.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.511275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Spurs71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x36ef…0172backed Knicks39c28.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.217100%7 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs64c25.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca08…c267backed Spurs50c25.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Spurs57c18.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4830616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0783…00d3backed Knicks73c15.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.02366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Knicks69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.656038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfaa6…192abacked Knicks74c14.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.861392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick71cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.