TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks47c11,014$5,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,790.021,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs22c7,872$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.8111333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs55c7,097$3,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,885.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs40c4,143$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.071,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks78c3,972$3,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.2564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks23c2,669$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.982,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs54c2,644$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.9719246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks73c2,582$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs43c2,363$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.3930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks47c2,102$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.232,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks34c1,872$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.2393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs22c1,774$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.381,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs34c1,498$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Knicks78c1,415$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.34763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs59c1,298$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks69c1,208$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.521,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2230…69e5backed Knicks78c1,192$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.311758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks52c1,163$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9518941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks80c921$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8d…c822backed Knicks78c813.23$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.912475%18 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Knicks51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3924652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16118643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs71c698.44$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.8918557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Knicks79c637.61$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.96258.1%36 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Spurs21c614.56$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.063644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs73c604.85$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.5736051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Knicks78c603.85$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.853151.6%16 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Spurs57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3422466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks45c570.8$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.971,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks34c565.11$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks30c531.49$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.7317946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks32c521.46$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.331,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs21c511.31$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.91,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs64c507.87$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Spurs22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011939.5%47 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs44c500$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5565762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs55c422.51$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs21c404.79$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1330448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs60c395.83$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0121953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks36c333.37$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4611239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb221…a639backed Spurs62c311.92$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.394637%17 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs21c300$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs51c298.25$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs48c250.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0625340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks35c237.03$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Spurs70c223.93$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.892650%13 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs73c211.16$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4925150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs71c210.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.761,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs21c196.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.61,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs54c177.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs74c168.49$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.196038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Spurs62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Spurs32c131.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.992937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Knicks80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2518853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks41c110.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs74c109.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.397152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks79c107.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5913161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Spurs23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2382440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…ba0bbacked Knicks70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks13c90.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7816429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs40c80.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0337652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Knicks44c79.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.825039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks67c77.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf596…4b79backed Knicks56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.433363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcab9…eb2dbacked Knicks75c69.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.484100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f12…c916backed Spurs58c68.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.536747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Spurs77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Knicks23c64.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs63c61.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spurs71c56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs60c52.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4412150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Spurs47c46.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.911729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Spurs59c43.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.951145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Knicks55c43.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs73c43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.392532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed Spurs58c41.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.06922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick58cpaid-57%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks58c40.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Spurs43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Knicks43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.83548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Knicks50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Spurs73c37.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.337154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Knicks63c32.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3336045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks61c32.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Spurs62c27.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9825958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7465…caa8backed Knicks56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks77c23.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5110548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Spurs53c23.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…822dbacked Spurs60c21.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.526958%40 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Spurs72c20.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159966.7%66 W · 33 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Knicks77c20.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6916048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs72c20.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5612055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Spurs72c18.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.745350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Spurs62c18.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe69f…9040backed Spurs68c17.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa64e…e5c9backed Spurs68c15.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.