TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs17c16,950$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.5711333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks51c10,389$5,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,100.2919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs52c4,462$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.1310944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks41c2,406$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.4293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs46c2,350$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.0755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed Knicks54c1,811$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Knicks51c1,749$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8575459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs44c1,556$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.3964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks33c1,282$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.1118140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs31c1,224$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks31c1,217$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.892,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks50c1,004$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.661,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs64c975.52$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs51c901.67$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.5630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks56c705.68$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.31,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks59c631.4$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.891,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs49c624.49$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30662948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs61c520.5$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.951,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…ba0bbacked Knicks67c512.18$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.538100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Spurs5c510$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.154032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0c4…989abacked Knicks50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs61c397.81$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8518941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks52c373.56$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs32c359.2$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.942,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks49c301.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.732654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks48c274$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Spurs77c258.55$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs16c251.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.821,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs17c221.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.061,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs16c208.73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4230448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb62d…c8ccbacked Knicks51c202.82$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.821353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Spurs17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3413638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs16c199.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs67c185.6$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs64c179.68$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks56c166.14$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Spurs26c154.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1721046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e5…264fbacked Knicks52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs18c151.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Knicks54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6916547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Spurs46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6915844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b6d…8b43backed Knicks34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+69.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs36c136.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.94431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ad…1014backed Spurs17c131.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.341323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs51c128.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9225340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs77c112$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…2a39backed Knicks45c111.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+204%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs68c100.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.466038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d0a…2d46backed Spurs70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Knicks78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2234169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…db97backed Spurs52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528534.1%29 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Spurs49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Spurs18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks37c99.1$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks50c94.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Knicks54c90.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.59061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs58c74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6217237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks52c57.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs48c56.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs51c54.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.149853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs56c53.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0612055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Spurs69c51.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.847154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Spurs57c49.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3249247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Spurs58c47.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.781827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Spurs38c45.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.091729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs64c45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs31c44.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7825554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc09…3079backed Spurs42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86839.7%27 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Knicks43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.83548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Knicks38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.83745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Spurs36c35.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.893333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Spurs38c31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7836045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Knicks38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.633556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Knicks73c29.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.041872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.921,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs57c24.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.166141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Spurs50c22.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.530616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Knicks50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.