TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs53c91,006$48,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,167.5614538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks47c86,568$40,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,881.011,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs51c5,407$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.0710944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks48c4,825$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.191,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks58c3,550$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.6764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks52c2,700$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.921,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs43c2,388$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.161,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs11c2,347$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks54c2,003$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.511,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs79c1,898$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks47c1,534$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.0955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Knicks66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4086163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs15c1,106$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9411333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Knicks48c1,027$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs47c998$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.2830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks66c940.29$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks44c859.81$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.192,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs37c714.16$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.141,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks76c666$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.841,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks79c623.38$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks48c500$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.191,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6418643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Knicks73c374$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Spurs26c366.35$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.256346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs58c339.09$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.676038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs58c338.97$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.618557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks19c269$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8127245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Knicks48c267.7$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.220647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks66c237.56$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4160250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks36c202$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.281,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7911258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs41c196.69$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc6…fb06backed Spurs77c195.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.832441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Knicks53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs47c188$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.882,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Knicks26c178$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.723946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Knicks55c165.9$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6614551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Spurs31c160$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4928251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Knicks50c159.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.967360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs48c123.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs57c119.73$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs47c116.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs59c105.02$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9619548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Spurs34c104.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.631729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Knicks48c104.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3348948.5%237 W · 252 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs55c102.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1236051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Knicks55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs56c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.53920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs14c99.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks15c90.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2825045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks77c87.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8118941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs36c83.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.064431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bc3…1544backed Knicks41c82.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+104.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks42c78.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2932654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Spurs34c73.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.753333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs29c69.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3825554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Knicks62c68.09$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.863745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks48c66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6530842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Spurs26c64.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.536045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks40c63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.834255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs56c61.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs46c59.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1125340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs49c59.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2312055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs56c57.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.737152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs54c54.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.681,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Knicks20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks61c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs49c44.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0712150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Knicks48c34.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.692951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks67c30.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.125944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0456…5c6abacked Spurs53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Spurs55c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7465…caa8backed Knicks56c26.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Spurs48c24.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8610152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Spurs47c23.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2430616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x22af…e660backed Knicks61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.