TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x22af…e660

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$34.23
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-40.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.94
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.65
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.87
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.