Fifa International · resolved market
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b674e4b8ca83d4bfa4845c1be7ba487a7fa4828336119a8a2110f26a7d47c3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,207,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,246,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,207,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 806 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Over | 65c | 159,999$104,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,999.8 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 63c | 132,722$83,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,614.98 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 35c | 100,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 58c | 98,125$57,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,288.7 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa407…ca38backed Over | 38c | 84,963$32,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,408.32 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Over | 38c | 64,518$24,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,246.22 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,999.89 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 49,387$18,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200.75 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 23c | 37,766$8,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,517.74 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Under | 61c | 35,071$21,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,325.4 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 30,211$16,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,446.81 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 29,990$12,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,856.5 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 27,497$19,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050.57 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…9884backed Over | 38c | 26,316$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,315.79 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 39c | 24,829$9,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,105.83 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 39c | 21,126$8,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,886.59 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under | 61c | 19,458$11,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,869.52 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…7bc9backed Over | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.51 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 61c | 12,500$7,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,624.8 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 11,266$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,220.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 39c | 10,889$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,667.84 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 37c | 10,047$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,329.6 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 20c | 10,019$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.52 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…43c2backed Under | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Over | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.95 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 56c | 9,868$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.14 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 9,006$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.77 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 60c | 9,001$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400.45 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 8,657$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,251.36 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 47c | 8,050$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 61c | 7,726$4,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,712.98 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eef…850fbacked Under | 26c | 7,257$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Over | 77c | 7,202$5,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.57 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 18c | 7,036$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.23 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.9 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 16c | 6,299$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Under | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 60c | 6,000$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.25 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 40c | 5,250$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.92 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 62c | 5,138$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.49 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.97 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 42c | 4,999$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.59 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 22c | 4,981$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.77 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed Over | 39c | 4,643$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 62c | 4,032$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…0120backed Under | 62c | 4,032$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 150 | 42.7%64 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 59c | 4,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 25c | 3,980$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.85 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 70c | 3,811$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.17 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 78c | 3,789$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.7 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 69c | 3,674$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.62 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3758…e05ebacked Under | 36c | 3,611$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea0…8d74backed Under | 25c | 3,567$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 78c | 3,535$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Under | 40c | 3,439$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.78 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Under | 39c | 3,338$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.49 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed Over | 39c | 3,195$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 75c | 3,076$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.36 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…8f8fbacked Under | 62c | 2,909$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Over | 76c | 2,761$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.85 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 27c | 2,758$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.24 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 16c | 2,523$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.71 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…64a1backed Over | 70c | 2,505$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.02 | 177 | 32.2%57 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…8b96backed Over | 38c | 2,420$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 20c | 2,352$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.02 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 39c | 2,308$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.69 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 75c | 2,281$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 175 | 68.6%120 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Over | 38c | 2,222$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.6 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Under | 61c | 2,198$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.56 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 71c | 2,158$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.07 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 31c | 2,152$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.35 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 76c | 2,123$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Over | 76c | 2,105$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.19 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Under | 24c | 2,076$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.17 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…9046backed Over | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e4aebacked Over | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…b8fabacked Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.89 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed Over | 40c | 1,994$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 19c | 1,982$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.55 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 39c | 1,900$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 1,820$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 38c | 1,786$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.32 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 37c | 1,761$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.51 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Over | 38c | 1,709$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 13c | 1,667$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 34c | 1,640$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.64 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 19c | 1,615$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 73c | 1,579$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…53ffbacked Over | 38c | 1,525$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.29 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…33aabacked Under | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 25c | 1,500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 60c | 1,500$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.98 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 65c | 1,493$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.12 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 38c | 1,467$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.14 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5this page
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Over won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Under won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)IR Iran won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.