TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,207,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,246,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,207,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 806 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9854…6bf2backed Over65c159,999$104,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,999.817840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under63c132,722$83,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,614.9842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under35c100,000$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,00074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under58c98,125$57,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,288.777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over38c84,963$32,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,408.323458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over38c64,518$24,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,246.2217949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under62c50,000$31,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,999.8953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c49,387$18,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,200.754,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under23c37,766$8,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,517.742931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Under61c35,071$21,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,325.415249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c30,211$16,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,446.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over40c29,990$12,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,856.53,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over71c27,497$19,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,050.572,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Over38c26,316$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,315.793151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over39c24,829$9,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,105.831,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over39c21,126$8,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,886.5914045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under61c19,458$11,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,869.5220044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over37c15,000$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,45021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Over39c12,821$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,820.513850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under61c12,500$7,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,624.86149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c11,266$5,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,220.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over39c10,889$4,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,667.8434964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over37c10,047$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,329.61,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under20c10,019$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.5214829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1004040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.9538026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over56c9,868$5,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,359.1439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over56c9,006$5,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,930.771,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under60c9,001$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,400.4532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over39c8,657$3,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,251.3610836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under47c8,050$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under61c7,726$4,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,712.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Under26c7,257$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.212334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Over77c7,202$5,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.578160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under18c7,036$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.2333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over38c7,000$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.914445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under16c6,299$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9864744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over40c6,250$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,75045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Under62c6,000$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7201650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under60c6,000$3,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,627.2511343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Over40c5,250$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.922524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c5,138$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.492,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Over64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.986155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.9716050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over42c4,999$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.5924144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under22c4,981$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.7739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed Over39c4,643$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.234100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+150.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under62c4,032$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed Under62c4,032$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50015042.7%64 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over59c4,000$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9910146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under25c3,980$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.8531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over70c3,811$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.172,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over78c3,789$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.734845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over69c3,674$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.6274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3758…e05ebacked Under36c3,611$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Under25c3,567$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.721723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over78c3,535$2,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.464,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under40c3,439$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.7810441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under39c3,338$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.4929030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e7…68d2backed Over39c3,195$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.874100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+143.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over75c3,076$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.361,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x000e…8f8fbacked Under62c2,909$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.281136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over76c2,761$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.8514463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under27c2,758$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.2425942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under16c2,523$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7137242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Over70c2,505$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.0217732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d2…8b96backed Over38c2,420$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under20c2,352$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.027047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over39c2,308$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.6930140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over75c2,281$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6717568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over38c2,222$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.614348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Under61c2,198$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.567122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over71c2,158$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.072,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under31c2,152$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.3519744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over76c2,123$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Over76c2,105$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.1927820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Under24c2,076$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.172425%6 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e98…9046backed Over39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2201136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Over76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48014454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked Over38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.893941%16 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4620…ea85backed Over40c1,994$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.39650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under19c1,982$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.558643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over39c1,900$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1597859%46 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Under49c1,820$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89017518.3%32 W · 143 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over38c1,786$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.3213951.8%72 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under37c1,761$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.5136350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Over38c1,709$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.651450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under13c1,667$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.8133843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under34c1,640$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.641,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under19c1,615$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over73c1,579$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.312763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Over38c1,525$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.296243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1d…33aabacked Under60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under25c1,500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37022639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over60c1,500$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.9821631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over65c1,493$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.1230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over38c1,467$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.141,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.