TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes45c32,455$14,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,741.691,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0e…6afdbacked No52c8,217$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,240.971947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes35c6,896$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,453.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed No58c5,398$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,116.036253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed No53c3,877$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.536446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes31c3,708$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.143,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes19c3,684$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.4677845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed No54c3,050$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.046246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes31c2,560$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.94,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes42c2,537$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.031,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No72c2,517$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.2360752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked No68c2,235$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.119450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x466a…76e7backed No63c2,232$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed No78c1,778$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.34942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed No51c1,688$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.539947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6f…cb80backed No50c1,651$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.721844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No77c1,603$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.624541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes40c1,601$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.841,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes43c1,444$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.264,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed No50c1,123$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fad…20d8backed No49c1,109$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.2911847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes19c1,059$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.23387.9%3 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked No79c887.86$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001520%3 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed No79c715.89$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.842128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed No57c704.24$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6210947.7%52 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8e…d9c2backed No79c662.1$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes31c636$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.841,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes21c624.74$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.3580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d90…42bebacked No78c547.94$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c476.78$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes28c458.98$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.291,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes16c449.04$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.611,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No78c415$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.911,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked No66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2643464.7%22 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+60.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes34c396.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.61,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked No70c385.24$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes21c377.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.756098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked No8c365.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7120850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked No52c354.76$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.084751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes22c319.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2787651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No54c313.44$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8221565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes15c300$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554827.1%13 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked No72c287.96$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.573956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2cf…0c8cbacked No80c267$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No67c254.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.043,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…abe3backed No79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f3…8c9bbacked No79c253.13$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c252$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.392,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No70c240.2$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.862,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed No80c231.25$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1858748.3%42 W · 45 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4186…7513backed Yes15c226.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.674425%11 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…7865backed No51c220$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.651225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes25c219.46$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.038411.9%10 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick13cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…e018backed No79c204.5$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Yes42c203.54$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0529558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No76c200$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.337744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f6c…6822backed No54c191.51$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.091533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes28c176.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7717218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes16c168.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7510523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes18c165.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1630818.5%57 W · 251 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed No69c158.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes24c140.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.489247.8%44 W · 48 L+18.5wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+50.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes31c140$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.62,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes35c128.89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7863745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d69…c254backed No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10520729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2828646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c2…e8b1backed No52c105.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8518340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858042.5%34 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5660…27e6backed No73c95.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7450…01a0backed Yes35c94.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.46425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked No39c89.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.737630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x878d…adc4backed No53c88.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed No68c59.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.253450%17 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No80c58.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9851859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes31c56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.872,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…2e04backed No74c48.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-66.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes26c45.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9421517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6b…d677backed No79c44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.764233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4c4…e822backed No71c42.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffbb…0538backed No74c40.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.64436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No46c36.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.732,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No63c35.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.222,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2995…f5bbbacked No61c32.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-64.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No63c31.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018053.3%96 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed No56c28.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No72c28.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.485733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes66c24.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.252,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad0…7132backed No73c23.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x959a…0d5fbacked No78c21.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.93366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb7…943ebacked No78c20.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.159053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf75…099fbacked No74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.89469.1%65 W · 29 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.416056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.