TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$742,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$875,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $742,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c64,651$38,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,624.982,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Over43c54,337$23,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,007.891855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over21c52,837$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,837.132326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under68c44,708$30,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,243.174235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over41c44,060$18,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,025.7977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c42,293$25,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,362.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over40c40,062$16,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,925.3114343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Under59c32,867$19,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,3006943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c20,019$9,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,904.051,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c10,332$7,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,365.532,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Over70c10,033$7,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.98160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Under60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0004456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over20c7,459$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,985.491,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under53c6,526$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Under65c5,844$3,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,798.586958%40 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over49c5,552$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.6739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over69c4,925$3,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.6810355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over35c4,845$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,163.8610836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Under45c4,402$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over40c4,367$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.951,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c4,344$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.343,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Over56c4,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.779242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over51c3,947$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.3463544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under31c3,738$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.639233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Over54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.79538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over42c3,592$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.593,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over19c3,311$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.9114323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under25c3,201$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.6122029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under60c3,000$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over48c2,975$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5478254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Over70c2,948$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.2927820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over63c2,862$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.011,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18ba…f577backed Under31c2,756$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under54c2,745$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.542,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over19c2,579$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.9528025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Under64c2,500$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Under63c2,381$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007138%27 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over46c2,359$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.9931545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over19c2,355$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.552,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over20c2,258$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.7811946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over19c2,222$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.8116050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over19c2,119$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.762,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under46c2,101$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.532656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under54c2,082$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.161,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Over53c2,076$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.7217732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under51c2,040$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.831,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under52c2,033$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.221,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over67c2,005$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.528643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Under59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1809767%65 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d10…37ebbacked Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick12cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under15c1,918$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over42c1,800$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.829573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under31c1,795$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.8823857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over65c1,772$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.5430054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Over69c1,676$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7111559.1%68 W · 47 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under63c1,570$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.0117650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under64c1,565$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c1,535$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.62,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Under65c1,500$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9723652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad6…34c6backed Under32c1,420$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.363636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Over71c1,400$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40614454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Over70c1,351$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.17785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over20c1,350$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Under60c1,340$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Over70c1,305$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.6411254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over35c1,193$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.314,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over54c1,145$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.786246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Over71c1,127$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7612958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over67c1,091$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.134964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.6330140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81021444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under54c999$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.7943145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under80c970.93$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.7471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27a…a9d1backed Under79c958.38$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.16368.3%43 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over44c943.97$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.6235424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over61c932.96$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5858642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over54c920.24$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.319239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under34c900$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30623440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Over50c890.39$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5911245.5%51 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Over71c845.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.079145.1%41 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over18c833.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.334447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over36c825.81$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.5222450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over40c783.85$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.8647744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under56c782.09$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.841,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under68c766$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.466352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbf1…d61abacked Under48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509340.9%38 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6422452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a2…dcaabacked Over59c723.56$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5612152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Under68c720.57$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3112235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Over35c700.93$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.25541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1526…bad2backed Under62c699.99$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.941346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.