TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$258,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa080…234fbacked No57c44,242$25,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,217.8715950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No57c25,203$14,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,365.813,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c22,725$10,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,633.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No56c22,715$12,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,720.6420044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed No56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.722937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Yes43c19,139$8,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,909.433050%15 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes43c17,500$7,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,974.9321343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes43c16,047$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,146.516947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed No57c15,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5504158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No56c14,999$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.5729646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c14,866$6,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,509.334,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes44c11,338$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,357.951,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf160…c3e7backed Yes44c11,179$4,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,286.124100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes43c8,676$3,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,942.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Yes44c5,641$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,158.828160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes43c4,744$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.1910555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed No56c4,691$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Yes44c4,550$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5488052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Yes44c3,624$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.4813857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Yes44c3,409$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.099241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes43c2,536$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.62,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes43c2,399$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.1532422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes43c2,330$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.0826445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.5767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4d…20ccbacked Yes44c2,265$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.4837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce4b…6e08backed Yes43c2,046$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.221926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes49c2,025$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.142,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9716647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No28c1,843$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes76c1,675$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.153,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed No57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8559149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes44c1,382$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.033756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes80c1,375$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27530465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Yes42c1,344$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.815044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc5…45c1backed Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.361850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8964…33a8backed Yes44c1,126$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked No57c1,111$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2745038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed No57c1,110$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.77138%27 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb94a…d680backed No57c1,100$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6276535.4%23 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes44c1,032$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.8222652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes43c999.98$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked No57c964.91$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes46c900.6$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.221,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Yes80c867.89$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5817948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked No58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes43c815.32$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.731,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes43c756.97$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.141,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed No57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6714637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No57c689.99$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.2914344.8%64 W · 79 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8224347.7%116 W · 127 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.829135.2%32 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Yes44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.824820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8210331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes44c672.73$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7313610.3%14 W · 122 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Yes43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34214745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f2…0193backed No27c597.92$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.091931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe879…750ebacked Yes80c593.86$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.771275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes75c579.55$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5524749.8%123 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac5…2003backed No57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005540%22 W · 33 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52c1…d61fbacked Yes76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.327361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Yes44c522.73$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.7312556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Yes44c518$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0824148.1%116 W · 125 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Yes80c500.3$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.317462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b28…b87dbacked No21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed No56c499.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.981625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes78c485.34$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8115763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa2a4…fed7backed Yes43c455.72$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.761735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.556850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23d7…101ebacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5512738.6%49 W · 78 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.559849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…dd8bbacked No22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006653%35 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7d…6897backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.557541.3%31 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2536…5d91backed Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.552619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes63c448.02$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.614,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0e…229ebacked Yes44c436.77$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.591060%6 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+139.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd23f…0b63backed No58c426.74$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9de…7310backed Yes43c420$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00e1…489cbacked Yes44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2245745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ae4…714cbacked Yes43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2284748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Yes69c396.84$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.868445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked No58c389.66$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2266747.8%32 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes43c372.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0923336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c5…22f7backed No27c367.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.933228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…2e16backed Yes43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.84728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No58c344.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.715954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9128646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…fa0abacked Yes80c339.79$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.962487.5%21 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes42c329.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.983,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed No57c325.19$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3616546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No27c314.62$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed No23c304.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010534.3%36 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed No57c303.1$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7722247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ecb…52a5backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16824542.9%105 W · 140 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7709…3470backed Yes43c299.95$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0abb…d188backed Yes44c261.36$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.364940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.