TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52c1…d61f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$242.79
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$226.58
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$200.74
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$220.62
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$21
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$161.99
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$188.5
Portugal to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$181
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$234.92
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$6.77
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.39
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$95.59
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+103%+$123.27
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$7.03
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT6947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Galle Gallantsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.56
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Colombo Kapsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$280
Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Lahore Qalandarsbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.82
Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Desert Vipersbacked Desert Vipers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,705.79
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
T20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs Indiabacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Kandy Royalsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicornsbacked Guyana Amazon Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
The Hundred: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+76%+$389.97
T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Jaffna Kingsbacked Jaffna Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.88
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Colombo Kapsbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Welsh Firebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Galle Gallantsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.72
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Colombo Kapsbacked Jaffna Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$441.62
T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Kandy Royalsbacked Dambulla Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Colombo Kapsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$173.51
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Galle Gallantsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$77.66
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Dambulla Sixersbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,713Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$806.24
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.78
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+243.6%+$191.45
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$25.9
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.