Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1400a2b70f275a8a9bef66b16566769e1ceeba1f6f9bcf5d4f311ade6d37393d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,502$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.19 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,325$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.85 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports | 70c | 1,885$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.22 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,854$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.28 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,616$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.15 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,585$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.09 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FUT Esports | 54c | 1,527$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.74 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,371$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.8 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 1,156$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.58 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed FUT Esports | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 993.81$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.68 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 857.37$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.18 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed FUT Esports | 36c | 837.8$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 804.06$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.23 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed FUT Esports | 54c | 778.97$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.53 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FUT Esports | 55c | 720.02$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.01 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…8701backed FUT Esports | 55c | 663.41$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 516$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.03 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 482.36$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked FUT Esports | 55c | 479.76$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FUT Esports | 53c | 467.35$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.65 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 452.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports | 44c | 437.46$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.16 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed FUT Esports | 38c | 420.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.52 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed FUT Esports | 55c | 413.63$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.71 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 399.28$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.01 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 374.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed FUT Esports | 35c | 365.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.45 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 321.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…c5fdbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 305.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 299.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…c75dbacked FUT Esports | 28c | 293.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.85 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 274.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47e…234cbacked FUT Esports | 29c | 271.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…d61fbacked FUT Esports | 29c | 270.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…935ebacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 251.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 246.4$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.26 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e5…008cbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 243.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked FUT Esports | 22c | 242.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 215.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed FUT Esports | 55c | 211.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 209.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…5da1backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 208.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 205.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed FUT Esports | 73c | 193.38$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked FUT Esports | 56c | 179.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 176.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7c83backed FUT Esports | 53c | 169.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed FUT Esports | 55c | 168.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 165$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 164.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…4947backed FUT Esports | 31c | 162.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports | 66c | 155.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed FUT Esports | 59c | 150.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…ef6abacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 138.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e6…1e51backed FUT Esports | 29c | 138.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85be…4475backed FUT Esports | 29c | 135.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 131.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed FUT Esports | 51c | 126.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 125.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports | 59c | 125.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 123.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 123.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…c707backed FUT Esports | 56c | 122.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 106.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed FUT Esports | 55c | 106.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…710dbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 105.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…94b8backed FUT Esports | 31c | 105.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FUT Esports | 55c | 99.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 96.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x431f…be71backed FUT Esports | 32c | 94.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed FUT Esports | 55c | 93.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 91.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked FUT Esports | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…b1babacked FUT Esports | 55c | 86.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…653cbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 84.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FUT Esports | 54c | 79.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7282…f40bbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 76.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 73.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed FUT Esports | 45c | 70.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked FUT Esports | 76c | 69.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…b30ebacked FUT Esports | 55c | 69.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…d719backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 66.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 65.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 63.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 62.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 61.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 58.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…db37backed FUT Esports | 42c | 54.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed FUT Esports | 55c | 53.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked FUT Esports | 32c | 52.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 52.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaFUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.