TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06e5…008c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.03
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$312.96
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.35
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$128.02
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.23
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.88
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.7
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$67.48
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.75
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49.05
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$53.52
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$6.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$171.4
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$251.05
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66.66
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$191.71
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$15.7
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$6.68
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$390
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.78
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.23
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$116.09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+27%+$210.2
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.02
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$31.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+117.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.06
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+129.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$169.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$109.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$52.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$97.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Omaha Mavericks vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.9%+$15.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$372.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.