NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4418850f3d98041a11ffb19778e2ce1920718abc26d1a925ffe795fe9c2aa6c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Rockets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 53c | 59,210$31,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,828.72 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 47c | 35,000$16,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,449.98 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 47c | 21,531$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.56 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Warriors | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.95 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 48c | 9,721$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.29 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Rockets | 47c | 8,500$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Warriors | 53c | 7,988$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,763.93 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Warriors | 53c | 5,501$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.46 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rockets | 65c | 5,416$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.32 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rockets | 59c | 4,493$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.87 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Rockets | 48c | 4,055$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.33 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 46c | 3,868$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Warriors | 36c | 3,083$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.89 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Rockets | 48c | 3,060$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.11 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Warriors | 52c | 2,998$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.06 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d4…373bbacked Warriors | 34c | 2,805$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Warriors | 55c | 2,627$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.81 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Warriors | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Warriors | 52c | 2,212$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.66 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Rockets | 47c | 2,059$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.73 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 53c | 2,005$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.87 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 32c | 1,994$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.95 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,968$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.53 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Rockets | 48c | 1,944$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Rockets | 48c | 1,613$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.1 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,586$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 52c | 1,524$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.74 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Rockets | 47c | 1,490$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.11 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,459$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.3 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Warriors | 38c | 1,360$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.96 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Warriors | 38c | 1,337$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.4 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rockets | 48c | 1,316$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.74 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…541fbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Warriors | 52c | 1,284$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.52 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Warriors | 38c | 1,254$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.07 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Warriors | 38c | 1,238$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.32 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 38c | 1,230$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.51 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…e9e6backed Warriors | 51c | 1,182$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warriors | 34c | 1,081$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.44 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets | 49c | 972.78$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.21 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Rockets | 48c | 970.74$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.95 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Rockets | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Rockets | 47c | 902.28$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.07 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 32c | 901.86$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Rockets | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 53c | 863.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Rockets | 47c | 844.6$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.96 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Rockets | 48c | 842$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.16 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Warriors | 52c | 837$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.76 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Rockets | 50c | 693.46$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.31 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Warriors | 45c | 683.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Warriors | 54c | 623.51$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Warriors | 52c | 592.94$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.61 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Warriors | 56c | 589.62$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Rockets | 50c | 577.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Warriors | 51c | 523.09$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.31 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Warriors | 54c | 513.93$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.41 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Rockets | 49c | 507.27$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.96 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Rockets | 51c | 501.05$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.15 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Rockets | 51c | 501.05$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.15 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rockets | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 51c | 477.06$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Rockets | 48c | 442.02$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.17 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Rockets | 47c | 435.69$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.77 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 29c | 421.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.26 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 46c | 415.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Rockets | 49c | 412.17$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Rockets | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Rockets | 51c | 408.69$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.81 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Warriors | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Warriors | 53c | 352.35$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Rockets | 48c | 331.38$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…b37fbacked Warriors | 53c | 322.28$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…be2bbacked Warriors | 50c | 316.05$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 50c | 311.94$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.33 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Rockets | 69c | 310.05$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.7 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Rockets | 53c | 302.14$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Warriors | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Rockets | 49c | 297.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Rockets | 13c | 291.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Warriors | 57c | 289.26$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Warriors | 32c | 277.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.51 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Rockets | 48c | 270$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Rockets | 48c | 261.76$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Rockets | 47c | 261.03$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Warriors | 32c | 258.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Rockets | 50c | 248.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Warriors | 32c | 239.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.56 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Warriors | 53c | 238.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Warriors | 52c | 232.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Rockets | 48c | 231.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Warriors | 51c | 231.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Rockets | 53c | 225.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Rockets | 47c | 225.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d8fdbacked Warriors | 61c | 224.9$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e5…008cbacked Warriors | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Warriors | 32c | 217.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.17 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Rockets | 49c | 217.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Rockets | 60c | 216.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Warriors | 14c | 212.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.54 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Warriors won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. WarriorsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Warriors won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.