NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2000d83109f29b9a5c7f01eac8ac5b56c7cb6f7cdbee174f556cf3cdf3d29ca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 36c | 781.72$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 689.59$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Over | 50c | 488.88$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 57c | 475.69$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 43c | 445.65$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 346.44$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 58c | 294.61$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 61c | 246.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…fffabacked Under | 21c | 225.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 176.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 167.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 160.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 158.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 151.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 73c | 150.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 130.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 119.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 112.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Under | 40c | 110.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 104.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 103.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 58c | 100.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 41c | 74.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 52c | 71.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 65c | 62.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 40c | 58.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 58.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…4edcbacked Under | 40c | 33.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 32.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 61c | 31.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 30.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 24.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 46c | 23.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 45c | 22.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d40…9189backed Over | 54c | 21.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…6829backed Over | 76c | 21.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 53c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Over | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…c307backed Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Warriors won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. WarriorsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Warriors won
- Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.