TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52cb…4007

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 51 out of 100; worst NHL at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT4740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 15.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.94
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$149.14
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$71.68
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$36.93
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.46
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.78
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.13
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.18
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$31.25
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$50.58
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.53
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.69
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.26
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.13
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.87
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.06
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.98
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.36
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.46
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.46
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.73
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-71.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.63
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.66
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.36
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.72
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.61
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.41
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.79
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.12
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.39
Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 255.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 252.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 254.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 256.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$192.38
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-4.4wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-72.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$29.39
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.21
Senators vs. Islandersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.11
Flames vs. Starsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.42
Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.85
Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.36
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$43.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.