MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e8fdac86b67ec331cdc40ef4b4f0bb8679e2b59a2f49f0ff5b255057c8fdabc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $742,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $733,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $742,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 58c | 337,721$194,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,794.42 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 46c | 141,871$64,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,838.14 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 43c | 125,932$53,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,914.61 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 113,676$52,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,017.23 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 42c | 111,176$46,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,694.02 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 54c | 97,566$52,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,880.5 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 42c | 44,318$18,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,613.38 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 54c | 43,758$23,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,128.68 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 42c | 40,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 54c | 25,195$13,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,508.63 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 19,361$10,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,388.57 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 58c | 16,810$9,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,061.58 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 14,944$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,435.44 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 55c | 9,821$5,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.25 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 6,701$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.36 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 5,345$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.88 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 47c | 4,840$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.45 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 4,756$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.26 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 50c | 3,768$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 3,631$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 3,161$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 2,952$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 2,785$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.32 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 2,498$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 2,245$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.25 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 50c | 2,024$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.67 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 2,004$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 47c | 1,936$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.11 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 42c | 1,921$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.39 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,758$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.16 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 1,733$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.1 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,676$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 1,545$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.49 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.99 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Under | 59c | 1,481$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,438$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.13 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 43c | 1,385$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.5 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 47c | 1,226$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 1,219$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.08 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.95 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 1,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Under | 50c | 980$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 54c | 908.62$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.96 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Under | 55c | 886.45$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.98 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 50c | 838.2$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Under | 57c | 804.21$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 665.27$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.33 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 54c | 652.22$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.17 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 627.55$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.75 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 46c | 619.94$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.17 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 68c | 617.95$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 46c | 557.61$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.41 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 54c | 540.31$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 43c | 518.87$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.11 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Under | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Over | 48c | 512.67$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 46c | 503.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.64 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Under | 56c | 492.64$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.76 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 28c | 420.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 45c | 408.51$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 19c | 384.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 54c | 362.13$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 44c | 349.21$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.31 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed Under | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 50c | 319.34$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.67 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 44c | 308.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 54c | 295.41$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.89 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…14e1backed Under | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…9c3abacked Over | 50c | 291.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…8fddbacked Over | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 52c | 279.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Under | 55c | 265.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6c…0b46backed Over | 49c | 245.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…616dbacked Under | 34c | 241.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Under | 34c | 225.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Over | 46c | 209$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 57c | 199.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 45c | 197.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Under | 57c | 162.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 149.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 44c | 146.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…83c6backed Under | 57c | 139.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 45c | 135.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 56c | 126.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 45c | 99.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…4be6backed Under | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…aa79backed Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.