TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb76f…aa79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
254
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6740.3%27 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.49
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$66.44
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.57
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.93
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.92
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.92
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$83.05
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$73.1
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$88.81
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.35
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.73
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.73
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$154.13
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.32
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.19
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$124.01
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.25
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.65
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$25.59
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.15
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+131%+$160.29
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.61
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.31
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$412.95
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.84
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.81
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$144.72
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.23
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.68
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+216.7%+$475.38
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.08
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$91
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.71
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.18
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.93
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.1
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.83
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.67
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$90.4
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.94
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.87
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$63.31
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.53
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.61
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.39
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.18
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+167%+$114.55
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$114.7
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$161
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick27cpaid+53.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.47
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+240.5%+$199.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$975.41
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$376.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.66
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+1,076.7%+$232.57
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$283.28
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$1,104.25
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+199.5%+$415.53
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+271.4%+$1,207.96
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.69
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.53
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+415.5%+$80.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.08
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.73
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.66
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$107
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+481.4%+$341.55
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.22
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.73
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$147.88
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.45
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$29.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+63.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.91
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$26.28
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.56
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.27
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+270.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+640.3%+$170.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$553.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$55.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$64.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.