MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d9f6672b1fad1f03b0d1c421a96a857b37f2880569b80c1b54433662f4d6ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,031,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,067,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,031,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 346,135$98,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,175.19 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 243,112$173,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,646.44 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 100,000$43,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,999.99 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 89,162$50,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,339.79 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 65,786$44,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,560.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 51,453$26,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,931.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 35,928$23,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,051.45 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 35,587$25,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,264.33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 33,993$9,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,568.91 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 25,788$7,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,175.23 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 25,329$14,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,891.56 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 22,087$14,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,969.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Seattle Mariners | 70c | 20,571$14,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,102.63 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 17,064$9,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,260.26 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 11,695$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,028.79 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 10,563$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 9,876$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.76 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 8,247$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 7,594$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.11 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 6,934$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 6,738$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.4 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 6,477$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.64 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 6,363$3,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.86 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 6,078$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.39 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 5,924$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.2 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 5,882$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.61 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 4,892$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.28 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.96 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 4,395$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.95 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 4,303$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.66 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 4,212$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.76 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 4,025$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.66 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 3,973$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.7 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 3,022$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.84 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 2,971$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.41 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 2,824$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.13 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 2,734$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.34 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,714$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 2,674$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 2,460$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.67 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,169$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.25 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 2,144$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.19 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 2,128$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.42 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,100$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…5b02backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,012$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 2,009$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.55 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…2798backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,959$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 1,884$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.49 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 1,818$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.12 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,719$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,642$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.72 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.62 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,571$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.1 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 35c | 1,498$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.33 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Seattle Mariners | 13c | 1,329$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,220$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.8 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 1,211$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.46 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 1,168$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.03 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…5a1dbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 1,129$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.64 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,123$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,113$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.38 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,003$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.62 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 991.82$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.61 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 977.88$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…e57ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 948.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 932.15$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.11 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 893.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 859.15$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.63 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 854.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…4342backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 854.29$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.09 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9000…93d9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 821.1$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 811$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.02 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Seattle Mariners | 21c | 771.15$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.21 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Seattle Mariners | 68c | 736.58$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 643.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.46 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 641.25$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.33 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 610.4$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.41 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 608$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 587$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 573$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 561.51$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 561.21$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 543$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.49 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 527.13$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 525.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 522.21$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.1 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 492.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 491.31$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 70c | 490.21$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.44 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 462.22$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.64 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 462.19$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 448.88$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 444$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 442.18$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 437.56$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.4 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 430.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.39 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.