MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e4ddc1bedbee6e5be861e3ef952dc89aecdd4058e66fd7f454c70aa2859e50e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Athletics, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,244,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,290,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,244,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Athletics | 38c | 425,377$161,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,192.23 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 200,844$124,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,333.63 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Athletics | 39c | 150,000$58,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,499.96 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 125,932$65,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,012.69 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 92,961$56,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,254.6 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 27,815$16,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,848.01 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 19,605$10,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,298.39 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 19,016$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,416.24 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 17,607$10,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,135.51 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 17,504$10,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,312.12 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 17,359$10,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,422.99 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 14,989$8,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,595 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 14,420$8,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.19 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Athletics | 39c | 14,330$5,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,588.85 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 13,408$8,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.79 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 13,012$7,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084.66 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 13,000$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,069.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 12,995$8,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Athletics | 39c | 12,500$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 11,289$6,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.71 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Athletics | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 9,185$5,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.1 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 8,130$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Athletics | 39c | 7,822$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 6,862$4,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.78 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Athletics | 38c | 5,686$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Athletics | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.97 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 4,619$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Athletics | 36c | 4,502$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.89 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Athletics | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 33c | 3,797$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.69 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 3,415$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Athletics | 38c | 3,332$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.84 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 3,063$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.77 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Athletics | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Athletics | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.96 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 38c | 2,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Athletics | 41c | 2,856$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…e809backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 2,789$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 32c | 2,770$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,525$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.08 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Athletics | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 2,476$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.81 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Athletics | 38c | 2,320$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.4 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Athletics | 3c | 2,300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Athletics | 41c | 2,143$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.08 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Athletics | 34c | 2,128$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.01 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Athletics | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,955$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.79 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,731$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.66 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,697$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,457$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.9 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 1,415$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Athletics | 22c | 1,364$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.07 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Athletics | 38c | 1,341$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.66 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 1,330$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.04 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Athletics | 7c | 1,302$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Athletics | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 39c | 1,207$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.57 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,135$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.16 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Athletics | 33c | 1,085$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.85 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Athletics | 37c | 1,046$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.02 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,019$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.75 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Athletics | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Athletics | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Athletics | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 975.67$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.67 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Athletics | 57c | 969.56$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 845$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.91 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 818.51$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.22 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 809.74$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.8 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Athletics | 38c | 789.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Athletics | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Athletics | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Athletics | 42c | 762.73$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 752.65$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1715backed Athletics | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 34c | 667.83$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Athletics | 39c | 622.92$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…b596backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 582.58$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.78 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Athletics | 17c | 569.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Athletics | 40c | 554.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.83 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Athletics | 31c | 550$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 543.02$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.02 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 525$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 35c | 517.57$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 514.45$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Athletics | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Athletics | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 490.14$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- NRFI: Athletics vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.