TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01a5…312e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT7244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,360
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,029.02
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,474
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,576.71
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,800
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,700
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+242.4%+$5,332.86
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,139.08
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,003Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$4,306.25
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$1,037.1
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$3,569.88
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,922.14
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.13
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,885.2
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,554.9
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,933Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$1,716.29
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.64
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$812.1
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,636Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$5,675.89
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,286.44
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,811Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$6,251.69
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,920.13
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,747.37
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.41
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,333
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT4546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,930
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$895.64
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,937.83
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.91
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,979Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$5,506.71
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.76
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$807.24
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.92
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,016.13
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.6
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,049.54
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$932.36
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.82
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,161.38
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.95
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$775.64
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.42
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$1,523.6
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.83
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,458Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,242.55
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+446.8%+$849.75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.71
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290.55
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$627.23
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.86
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,009
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.17
Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.28
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$898.93
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,547.47
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,206.81
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,027.57
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+175.7%+$844.86
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$468.13
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$507.12
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$2,561.36
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.56
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$655.9
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$900.14
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.46
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.5
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$1,094.31
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$567.22
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$161.12
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$562.7
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$699.23
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.29
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$492.58
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$861.35
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,614Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$1,239.12
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$957.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.