NFL · resolved market
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52f13a5eaf375170189f326e58cc6d217515de1cf9e41bff17be7779ea9a295c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,856,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,912,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,856,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Giants | 54c | 1,662,933$897,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897,983.94 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Giants | 54c | 500,000$270,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270,000 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0af8backed Patriots | 46c | 434,999$200,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234,899.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Patriots | 46c | 414,411$190,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,795.82 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Patriots | 46c | 400,000$184,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,000 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Patriots | 46c | 348,506$160,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,193.48 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Patriots | 46c | 89,984$41,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,591.31 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Patriots | 46c | 82,160$37,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,366.39 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Giants | 54c | 80,000$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,200 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Patriots | 46c | 73,284$33,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,573.36 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Giants | 54c | 71,000$38,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,339.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Giants | 53c | 50,434$26,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,730.21 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…11eebacked Patriots | 46c | 45,798$21,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,730.81 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Patriots | 47c | 41,617$19,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,233.35 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Patriots | 47c | 41,005$19,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,930.87 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Patriots | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Giants | 53c | 30,516$16,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,173.33 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Giants | 54c | 28,704$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Giants | 53c | 27,119$14,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,394.48 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Giants | 53c | 22,222$11,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,777.48 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Giants | 53c | 21,593$11,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,420.01 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Patriots | 47c | 20,700$9,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,010.99 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Giants | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Giants | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Patriots | 46c | 18,686$8,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,090.71 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Patriots | 47c | 16,166$7,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,634.64 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Patriots | 47c | 15,765$7,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,415.75 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Patriots | 50c | 15,038$7,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,568.98 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Patriots | 47c | 11,830$5,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,269.79 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Giants | 54c | 10,185$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Patriots | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Giants | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Patriots | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Patriots | 45c | 8,144$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Giants | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.99 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Patriots | 46c | 7,866$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240.01 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Patriots | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Patriots | 46c | 7,423$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.21 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Giants | 50c | 6,533$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.48 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Patriots | 46c | 6,300$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 6c | 6,214$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.45 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Patriots | 46c | 6,004$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Patriots | 46c | 5,422$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.74 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Giants | 25c | 5,366$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.82 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Patriots | 74c | 5,000$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Giants | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Giants | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Giants | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed9…e1c6backed Giants | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Giants | 51c | 4,937$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.72 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Patriots | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Patriots | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Giants | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f6…89a0backed Giants | 54c | 3,975$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Patriots | 46c | 3,913$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.04 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Giants | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Patriots | 46c | 3,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Patriots | 47c | 3,211$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.92 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Giants | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Giants | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Patriots | 46c | 2,710$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.4 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Patriots | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.19 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Giants | 54c | 2,500$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddd…9407backed Giants | 44c | 2,400$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Patriots | 47c | 2,392$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.94 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…407bbacked Patriots | 45c | 2,322$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Giants | 54c | 2,167$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Patriots | 46c | 2,048$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.81 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Giants | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Patriots | 45c | 2,035$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.61 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Patriots | 46c | 2,025$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.77 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Patriots | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Giants | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Giants | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…7269backed Giants | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 54c | 1,851$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Giants | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Patriots | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Patriots | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Giants | 1c | 1,665$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Giants | 54c | 1,506$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Patriots | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Patriots | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Giants | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Patriots | 47c | 1,436$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.24 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 26c | 1,374$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…70afbacked Giants | 54c | 1,368$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Giants | 54c | 1,341$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Giants | 54c | 1,331$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.86 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Patriots | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…d274backed Giants | 54c | 1,266$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f68…737bbacked Patriots | 47c | 1,199$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Patriots | 46c | 1,195$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.3 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Patriots | 46c | 1,147$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.52 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Giants | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Patriots | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…5839backed Patriots | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…dde5backed Giants | 54c | 1,020$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…1abebacked Patriots | 47c | 1,016$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Patriots (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Patriots won
- Giants vs. PatriotsPatriots won
- Giants vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Giants vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Over won
- Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 47.5Over won
- Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 59.5Under won
- Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 60.5Under won
- Mack Hollins: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-13.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-23.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.