TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Giants vs. Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Patriotsof Giants, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,982,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,185,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,982,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Giants25c3,091,602$775,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775,408.2417041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Giants25c518,109$127,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,086.556248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Patriots76c460,000$349,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,399.9913843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Patriots75c411,388$307,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,290.9616955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Patriots74c384,615$284,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,999.97951.9%41 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Patriots75c332,575$250,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,818.084955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Patriots75c282,789$213,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,499.0130043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Patriots76c236,358$180,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,802.621973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Patriots74c200,000$148,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,0005550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Giants0c190,499$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Patriots75c163,170$121,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,477.186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Giants24c158,189$37,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,965.419553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Giants24c156,301$37,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,330.7716836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Patriots75c150,000$112,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,5009359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Giants24c110,000$26,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,399.914342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots77c108,702$83,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,247.2120755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Patriots74c102,734$76,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,710.937554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Giants13c100,913$13,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,111.568747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca36…1e9cbacked Giants25c100,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0002653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+59.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Patriots75c90,685$67,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,82824957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Patriots76c85,552$65,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,505.5247348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Giants23c83,821$18,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,959.3110026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Giants23c80,000$18,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,597.457440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc99b…bc96backed Patriots77c75,418$58,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,346.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Patriots75c65,152$48,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,251.5844652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4a…87d4backed Patriots76c60,000$45,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4003100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Giants24c60,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,499.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Giants2c59,772$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.332245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e02…817ebacked Giants25c50,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5002227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Giants6c49,300$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.2820026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Giants24c45,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8005236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Patriots76c43,315$32,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,482.43268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Patriots75c40,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00011544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Patriots74c40,000$29,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40030743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Patriots75c40,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0007153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Giants23c39,159$9,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,007.545431.5%17 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Giants23c36,673$8,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,510.3431240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Patriots77c32,468$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,467.533056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Patriots75c32,023$23,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,081.6528447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Giants6c31,993$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.255736.8%21 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Giants6c31,891$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.057736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Patriots75c31,110$23,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,933.0510442.3%44 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d7…1c0bbacked Patriots76c30,107$23,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,104.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Patriots74c30,000$22,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,80024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb924…0886backed Giants1c29,200$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9615132.5%49 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots75c28,574$21,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,181.6783147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Giants24c27,776$6,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.234634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Patriots76c26,316$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,315.796459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Patriots75c24,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Patriots75c23,400$17,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8503863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Giants0c23,326$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1914926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e8…4e6ebacked Patriots77c21,500$16,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,945333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef3…c555backed Giants0c21,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Patriots76c21,206$16,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,125.7719651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Patriots75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0006645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Giants10c15,969$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.0419551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Patriots75c14,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Giants24c13,944$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.6810333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Giants26c13,878$3,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.4319645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Patriots76c13,000$9,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1202055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Patriots77c12,987$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,987.017255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Patriots76c12,315$9,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.494062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Patriots75c12,262$9,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.2712144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49d3…ea4ebacked Giants1c11,695$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.64248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-84.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Patriots77c11,682$8,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.899949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Giants15c10,951$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.653961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Giants25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Patriots77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3007558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Giants24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40016832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Patriots76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Giants25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Giants24c9,974$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+889.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6c3…b2d2backed Giants25c9,891$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Patriots75c9,252$6,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3136550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Giants8c9,060$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.1719235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Giants24c8,666$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.845756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Giants24c8,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016737.7%63 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Patriots76c8,303$6,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.9414951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Giants25c8,010$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.64134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Giants25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Giants24c7,700$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8485837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Giants9c7,586$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.548349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Patriots75c7,500$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87514450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed9…e1c6backed Giants19c7,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Patriots76c6,702$5,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.42740.7%11 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cd…5499backed Patriots76c6,500$4,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e4…48b0backed Patriots76c6,312$4,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Patriots75c6,235$4,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.671770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Patriots75c6,148$4,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.911346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Patriots80c6,028$4,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.6675852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Patriots75c6,023$4,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.331854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Giants24c5,979$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a8…4527backed Giants24c5,861$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.57560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Giants13c5,772$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.3118044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Giants23c5,766$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.4417348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Patriots76c5,526$4,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.327657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Patriots76c5,500$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32015555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf09…651fbacked Giants24c5,500$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7656…9bbdbacked Patriots76c5,442$4,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5488…1609backed Giants24c5,296$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.