TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$887,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,012,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $887,024 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under50c429,839$213,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213,444.6286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Over50c300,204$151,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,103.96248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c71,801$35,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,878.0747348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over51c67,104$34,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,881.1131240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over50c53,400$26,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,867.5927454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over50c50,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,00024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Over50c20,684$10,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,34244652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c20,012$10,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,006.1275852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c20,000$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,10035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Over50c18,887$9,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,443.568856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c15,761$7,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,879.3453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50016860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c8,050$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.2373651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c8,005$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.5554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.132250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Under50c7,237$3,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.681656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under50c6,876$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.1615555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over50c6,199$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.2613560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c5,122$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56283147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under49c5,000$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47026650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4504358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c4,742$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37153253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over50c4,444$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2224847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0007464.9%48 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Under50c3,300$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65014757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Under50c3,195$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.55850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under50c2,940$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47010650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1828…cca5backed Over49c2,864$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.55875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf70d…ef69backed Under51c2,553$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under50c2,254$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1279245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Under51c2,157$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1005139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98017251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Under50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99014945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under51c1,662$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.4314154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under50c1,482$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74136246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c1,363$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.91,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5504259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4111255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x477a…583ebacked Over49c1,013$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49018044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50022446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c1,000$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49665048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a81…aa82backed Under51c987.49$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013752.6%72 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c934.44$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.2856852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c877.29$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.191,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3311156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under19c534$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0931543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25011946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011640.5%47 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Under52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509536.8%35 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over76c479.14$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.520757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3b9…9ce4backed Under50c430$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2158639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1616351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over48c400.42$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.683447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605a…4576backed Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bbb…b176backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under50c390$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.820354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over50c384$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19211253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Under51c378.55$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.063735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over50c368$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18414641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Over50c344$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Over50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16010548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16013959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under51c313.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1430442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15055345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15059453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014951%76 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014d…144cbacked Under31c236.13$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under10c214.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5768446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Under51c203.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0420650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10423447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe753…6f4bbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007034.3%24 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006540%26 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9813347.4%63 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…b4b0backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315869%40 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over50c192$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9620555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6728047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc9…183bbacked Under50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Over50c163.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.992548%12 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.