TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa89e…fb60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst F1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5379.2%42 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,759Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$489.08
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$14,321.08
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$12.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.99
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$4,550
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+59%+$333.99
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32,645Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15,362.4
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$722
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$157.5
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13,630
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,400
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$46.71
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,626.94
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23,920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$6,085.87
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,999.93
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,735Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$765
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,763Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,175.33
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$2,000
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$2,000
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$1,635.89
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$99.54
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,077Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$1,217.66
Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdownsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$4,076.52
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$8,462.19
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,267Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+100.9%+$5,313.08
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,267Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$1,850.46
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,676Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$1,558.67
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+114.3%+$800
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+78.4%+$514.34
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$4,761.72
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$4,526.43
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,604.5
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18,321Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$4,806.26
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$10.45
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+65.2%+$14,470.78
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,927Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$1,395.77
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,895Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+37.7%+$3,728.22
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28,507Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+39.3%+$11,200.09
All 17 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,447Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,482.37
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16,531Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+41.2%+$6,804.01
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+80.3%+$1,758.6
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,879.34
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,075Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+49.4%+$1,519.46
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+38%+$103.3
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,001Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$631.98
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47,264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$12,561.57
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12,526.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,600
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$8,686.96
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$34,313.89
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,699.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$32.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$25.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,908Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$523.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Islandersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,176
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,805
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,158.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.