NFL · resolved market
Seahawks vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2987f9e8a627829c72a28aa65f5ced151f3e696139b528469c11890addf5204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,598,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,763,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,598,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 720 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Seahawks | 70c | 285,465$200,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,598.84 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Seahawks | 71c | 237,473$169,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,380.29 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bears | 27c | 219,824$59,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,382.14 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bears | 32c | 130,040$41,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,598.09 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bears | 32c | 99,164$31,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,635.69 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Seahawks | 69c | 81,084$55,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,385.99 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bears | 30c | 71,272$21,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,184.45 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Seahawks | 68c | 53,239$36,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,036.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Bears | 33c | 45,339$14,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,991.37 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Bears | 32c | 33,988$10,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,992.88 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Bears | 27c | 32,748$8,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,874.51 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Bears | 31c | 32,462$10,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,063.12 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Bears | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.86 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bears | 32c | 25,734$8,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,274.79 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Seahawks | 72c | 23,456$16,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,672.57 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Seahawks | 68c | 21,480$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,980.12 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Seahawks | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Seahawks | 69c | 18,425$12,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.76 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Seahawks | 68c | 17,624$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.18 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Seahawks | 71c | 17,478$12,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,143.09 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Seahawks | 68c | 15,296$10,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.77 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bears | 32c | 15,221$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.24 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Seahawks | 71c | 14,351$10,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.02 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Seahawks | 73c | 13,623$9,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,728.22 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Bears | 28c | 12,500$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Seahawks | 67c | 11,000$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.92 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bears | 32c | 10,004$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.38 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Bears | 29c | 10,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bears | 33c | 9,781$3,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.05 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Bears | 34c | 9,198$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Seahawks | 72c | 8,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Bears | 33c | 7,539$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Bears | 32c | 7,465$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.32 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Seahawks | 67c | 7,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Seahawks | 72c | 6,868$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Seahawks | 68c | 6,698$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.47 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bears | 32c | 6,601$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.02 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Seahawks | 75c | 6,598$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.53 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Seahawks | 67c | 6,542$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Bears | 32c | 6,500$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.98 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Seahawks | 69c | 6,339$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.99 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Seahawks | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Bears | 35c | 5,720$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Seahawks | 68c | 5,294$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.12 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Bears | 32c | 5,178$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.62 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Seahawks | 68c | 5,009$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.02 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Bears | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Seahawks | 69c | 5,000$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Bears | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Seahawks | 68c | 4,990$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.71 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bears | 31c | 4,907$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Seahawks | 71c | 4,860$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Seahawks | 72c | 4,622$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…77b6backed Seahawks | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Bears | 33c | 3,800$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…8d35backed Bears | 1c | 3,635$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Seahawks | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Seahawks | 63c | 3,500$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.18 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Seahawks | 68c | 3,477$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.9 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Seahawks | 68c | 3,437$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.76 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Seahawks | 72c | 3,420$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.36 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bears | 31c | 3,408$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.74 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Bears | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Bears | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Seahawks | 68c | 2,990$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…5fd9backed Seahawks | 68c | 2,944$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked Seahawks | 68c | 2,943$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.8 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked Seahawks | 68c | 2,745$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.51 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Bears | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bears | 33c | 2,500$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.97 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Seahawks | 69c | 2,440$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.67 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Bears | 33c | 2,424$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Seahawks | 75c | 2,334$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.15 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Seahawks | 72c | 2,308$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.22 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bears | 33c | 2,278$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.07 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Bears | 32c | 2,137$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.67 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…98f8backed Bears | 34c | 2,087$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bears | 32c | 2,005$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.44 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Seahawks | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Seahawks | 71c | 2,000$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.49 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Seahawks | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…fcfabacked Bears | 34c | 1,909$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed Seahawks | 68c | 1,838$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed Bears | 32c | 1,811$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Bears | 29c | 1,730$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…3785backed Bears | 34c | 1,618$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Seahawks | 68c | 1,618$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.65 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Seahawks | 69c | 1,503$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.96 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Bears | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bears | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…2271backed Seahawks | 67c | 1,490$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Seahawks | 68c | 1,483$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.69 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Seahawks | 73c | 1,478$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…02fcbacked Seahawks | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Seahawks | 75c | 1,467$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.75 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Seahawks | 65c | 1,467$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.12 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bears | 32c | 1,448$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.4 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…639abacked Seahawks | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Seahawks | 73c | 1,370$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.97 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Seahawks | 68c | 1,337$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.