TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94dc…c779

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT7853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Bills backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+129.6%+$903
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,638.14
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$4,741.83
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$6,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$6,838.62
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+45.6%+$4,090.35
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$2,950
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$4,806.44
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,530
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15,189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+34.1%+$5,174.42
Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,707.82
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$460
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+101.6%+$5,191.18
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+56.6%+$3,509.81
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,534Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+47.1%+$4,486.63
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,163Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+56.2%+$3,466.95
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$5,914.81
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$3,548.12
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24,480Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+34.8%+$8,520
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21,324Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+56.6%+$12,077.87
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200,866Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+42.1%+$84,598.84
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$222,144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+26.1%+$57,997.91
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$118,624Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+73.5%+$87,215.12
Buccaneers vs. Cowboysbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$186,829.71
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63,044Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+38.1%+$23,998.05
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2024, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,790Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+38.7%+$2,238.27
Whittaker vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$48
Ankalaev vs. Rakicbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+27.8%+$87
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+106.5%+$1,083
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$281.6
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$420
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,237Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+78.6%+$4,114.74
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$4,440
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+59.1%+$670.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+72.8%+$496.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,137.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,005.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$3,669.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,154.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.