TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Chargers vs. Texans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texansof Chargers, Texans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,161,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,424,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,161,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,020 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe6a2…6af8backed Chargers64c556,961$355,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355,728.8912570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Texans41c424,643$174,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249,838.917041.4%29 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Texans41c216,563$88,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,370.825137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Texans35c203,505$71,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,585.920634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Texans42c185,467$78,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,844.451833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad3e…4422backed Chargers24c166,516$39,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,645.323650%18 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Chargers59c134,672$79,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,456.431741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Texans67c108,946$73,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,836.881127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Texans41c105,772$43,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,605.663943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7094backed Chargers59c87,929$51,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,881.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Chargers59c60,155$35,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,266.21947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Texans60c53,285$32,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,249.614746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Chargers60c49,196$29,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,517.825565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Texans31c35,383$10,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,554.444755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd398…c487backed Chargers60c33,118$19,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,870.514634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Chargers14c32,912$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Chargers60c31,992$19,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,195.11855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Chargers61c31,329$19,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,0502864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Chargers60c27,356$16,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,507.644852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Texans38c25,462$9,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,773.0644246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Chargers59c23,000$13,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,57016545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Chargers61c19,858$12,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,061.445650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Texans40c19,363$7,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,631.384436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Texans41c19,088$7,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,261.79245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Texans40c17,696$7,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,617.517042.9%30 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Chargers68c16,942$11,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,476.989359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Chargers1c16,119$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.873821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+55.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Texans40c13,917$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,302.072055%11 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Texans40c12,468$4,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,480.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Texans24c12,360$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,410.072250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f44…3ae9backed Chargers59c12,330$7,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,274.542128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Chargers57c12,219$6,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,998.141752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20e…5998backed Chargers70c12,100$8,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,437.762454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Texans66c12,046$7,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,055.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Chargers60c11,931$7,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,158.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Chargers28c11,317$3,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.8717823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Texans31c11,132$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,632.188951.7%46 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb8…e817backed Texans31c11,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,569.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+134.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Texans51c10,091$5,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,948.960049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Chargers59c9,000$5,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,269.9828556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Texans49c8,647$4,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,394.6922638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Chargers60c8,333$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x280a…982fbacked Texans41c8,310$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,935.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4528…9e8ebacked Chargers61c8,234$5,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,022.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Chargers61c7,956$4,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,867.169259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Chargers56c7,871$4,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,413.677627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Texans56c7,827$4,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.131848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Texans40c6,900$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.872133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Chargers57c6,721$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.8316259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb91f…e659backed Chargers60c6,651$3,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,988.974841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c1…59a9backed Texans45c5,582$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Chargers59c5,439$3,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dba…c816backed Chargers3c5,277$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.164325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccd9…f849backed Chargers60c5,035$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.21650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Chargers59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9507853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Chargers60c4,849$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.219952.5%52 W · 47 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Texans42c4,691$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.26233.9%21 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ee…8cf8backed Texans56c4,617$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b26…8640backed Chargers76c4,529$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,444.381855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1f…ec73backed Texans32c4,326$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Chargers58c4,318$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007456.8%42 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63cc…6e44backed Texans41c4,169$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+83.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e43…43dfbacked Chargers61c4,169$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Chargers60c4,167$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Chargers59c3,767$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.7726650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Chargers68c3,703$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.528348.2%40 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Chargers79c3,699$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.5424351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Chargers59c3,620$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.562744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Chargers62c3,372$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.9129059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Chargers55c3,367$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.814248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Chargers49c3,367$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.3714837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe13a…94d4backed Chargers60c3,296$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc43f…c86dbacked Chargers61c3,277$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Chargers60c3,210$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9266947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Chargers44c3,077$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.863759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Chargers60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80014750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Texans56c2,981$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.442382.6%19 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+48.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Chargers60c2,846$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.4314763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x292d…2c8dbacked Texans77c2,663$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.773070%21 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Chargers61c2,570$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.847058.6%41 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Texans41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4752937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Texans73c2,432$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.1621251.9%110 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Texans59c2,421$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.3610345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Texans42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.957754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Chargers17c2,370$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.3410960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Texans30c2,370$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.0814457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Texans41c2,347$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.6110624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x183a…d514backed Chargers63c2,299$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.5314355.2%79 W · 64 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb189…35ebbacked Chargers5c2,263$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.711625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Chargers63c2,252$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.757833.3%26 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47db…fcf2backed Texans58c2,200$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cc…a553backed Chargers60c2,167$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Texans30c2,100$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47413430.6%41 W · 93 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Texans37c2,083$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.388953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Chargers60c2,056$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.7511346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Chargers60c2,037$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2224772.3%34 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Chargers61c2,000$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22538459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Chargers33c2,000$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66133047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b23…8278backed Texans78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4406758.2%39 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Chargers59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.9810768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.