F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9edab53371ad705abfd9fdfa9b295814d8b7ed753fcbd7811c5936ec0ff275d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 38c | 20,353$7,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,659.78 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 60c | 14,423$8,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,811.13 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 43c | 10,388$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485.38 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 58c | 9,031$5,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.25 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 60c | 8,446$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,388.4 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 10c | 8,002$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.74 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Yes | 41c | 6,829$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 20c | 6,051$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 29c | 5,721$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.03 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed No | 59c | 5,576$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 31c | 5,460$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.8 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f0babacked Yes | 40c | 4,996$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 38c | 4,650$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.61 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 57c | 4,489$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 31c | 4,112$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.09 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 62c | 4,082$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 60c | 3,875$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.8 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 3,649$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.87 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 35c | 3,394$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.74 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 43c | 3,055$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.69 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…cee6backed Yes | 42c | 2,925$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 35c | 2,544$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.32 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Yes | 25c | 2,539$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 42c | 2,464$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 41c | 2,457$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,415$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.45 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…4033backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b20…75d3backed Yes | 19c | 2,212$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,105$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.58 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 63c | 2,071$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.8 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 67c | 2,043$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.03 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 60c | 1,850$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 59c | 1,539$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.37 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 35c | 1,522$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.78 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…7397backed Yes | 44c | 1,498$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 76c | 1,466$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.29 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…8489backed Yes | 19c | 1,443$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 12c | 1,410$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.09 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…1290backed No | 61c | 1,394$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…e1d2backed Yes | 44c | 1,380$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,300$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 62c | 1,200$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.77 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 37c | 1,193$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.36 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed No | 58c | 1,180$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed Yes | 9c | 1,090$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 53c | 1,017$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…4ccfbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 58c | 1,000$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 10c | 984.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 28c | 969$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.77 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 19c | 900.85$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 30c | 883$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.29 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 47c | 846.55$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.88 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 37cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 40c | 800$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…cd14backed Yes | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 76c | 721.96$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d8…41a9backed Yes | 8c | 708.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 57c | 642.81$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed No | 64c | 541.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…fd58backed Yes | 30c | 510.95$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf30…6194backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 43c | 472.81$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…aecfbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed No | 73c | 426.4$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed Yes | 10c | 416.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…7d91backed Yes | 41c | 408.15$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…8b1abacked Yes | 33c | 395.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…ef95backed Yes | 39c | 386.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb019…a193backed Yes | 33c | 376.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…7684backed Yes | 14c | 369.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed Yes | 6c | 350$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…e86abacked Yes | 42c | 310.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…6b4fbacked Yes | 10c | 288.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 74c | 281.34$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…3b95backed Yes | 36c | 277.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 5c | 257.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 16c | 253.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 66c | 241$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…cf55backed Yes | 27c | 230$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 228.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…57d5backed Yes | 13c | 228.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 60c | 227.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 64c | 222.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…6c81backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…07f1backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…c88fbacked No | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…9574backed Yes | 12c | 189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 67c | 187.59$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes | 30c | 185.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.