TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,687 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x912a…0f92backed Yes1c9,929$80 inLost-$79.522114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes1c7,792$50 inLost-$49.741421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9705…12f9backed Yes1c7,168$37 inLost-$36.84520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes1c5,442$70 inLost-$70.09100%0 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes1c3,584$22 inLost-$221118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Yes1c3,229$33 inLost-$33.08140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes1c1,925$17 inLost-$17.248622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad09…3376backed Yes5c1,783$96 inLost-$96120%0 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd229…fcd6backed Yes2c1,080$18 inLost-$18210%0 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes5c514.34$25 inLost-$24.679219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ac…4252backed Yes6c500$30 inLost-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes3c471$16 inLost-$15.854134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc047…fecbbacked Yes4c309.32$12 inLost-$11.631233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc36e…1524backed Yes4c250$10 inLost-$10.251827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf388…0348backed Yes5c249.99$12 inLost-$12.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d7…49d2backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…060ebacked Yes6c180$11 inLost-$10.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.