TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes46c26,008$11,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,055.842536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No60c22,566$13,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,589.021421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes35c21,000$7,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,6705733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No58c15,457$8,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,900.8514356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No55c10,043$5,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,496.4712246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Yes39c9,395$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,747.982924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No62c8,214$5,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,064.012378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No30c7,972$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes71c6,764$4,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.398939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d2…c23cbacked Yes66c6,185$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.332050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes60c5,356$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4806225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes67c3,885$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.779219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No62c3,799$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.3512353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No30c3,515$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.492240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcabc…19b1backed Yes38c3,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.381127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1476…cee6backed Yes43c3,086$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes65c3,085$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.373716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No60c3,070$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.981580%12 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes76c2,900$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.977028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed No13c2,890$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.391323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes47c2,753$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.191926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes70c2,601$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.278622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes36c2,409$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.445137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes48c2,333$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.876835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No60c2,025$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.95759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7407739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Yes52c1,912$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb998…75d0backed Yes39c1,618$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No53c1,549$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.121337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked No5c1,400$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No62c1,393$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.412646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes57c1,359$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.836633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Yes45c1,080$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.655251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No59c1,077$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.515255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Yes50c1,055$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.761338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.087955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked No62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6202646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+70.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes48c1,000$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.541338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No55c1,000$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked No32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No33c903.18$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9911250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No50c880$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes36c866.92$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.362548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x528e…e9c4backed Yes63c823.07$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.34850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed No17c800$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13212419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes38c794.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.61742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes60c770.02$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No64c733.49$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.435149%25 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b56…8489backed Yes74c721.25$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No63c673$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.633167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed No10c640.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.062114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes44c637.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.284134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa43…cbdfbacked Yes39c637.52$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-57.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa147…3fccbacked No65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes51c569.98$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.292661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No4c568.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.761741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes49c505.69$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.135028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No63c499.61$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.755154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed No60c498.18$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.731136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No64c483.71$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.572669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x825e…904fbacked No53c461.46$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.21258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No52c450$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2344936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x698a…99acbacked Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Yes74c413.26$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e5…7d91backed Yes39c402.56$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad2…11babacked No42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes38c399.48$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.68887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5332…3d88backed Yes74c396.16$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x523c…5348backed No37c370.9$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.141060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes33c349$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.336827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1932…4e5abacked Yes78c340$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No63c333$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7910051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes55c331.4$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.063339.4%13 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed No63c328$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.461030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9853…e86abacked Yes39c310.56$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.44633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes59c300$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57bd…cf55backed No38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.44551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No63c279.42$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.031752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes74c273.28$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.531154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf4…6437backed Yes69c260.87$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b48…09e4backed Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+84.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No30c253.16$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8511266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x051f…66b0backed Yes39c243.62$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.612536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ae…9574backed Yes72c237.02$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.73243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes44c231.08$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.581136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ec…1dadbacked No62c227.12$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.451369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8528…d446backed No63c222.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No63c221.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.856845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No67c221$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7615932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed Yes57c212.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.155630.4%17 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No35c211.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.363571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Yes49c204.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.323321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd9e…49b3backed No27c200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538529.4%25 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked Yes64c198.8$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.05540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.