F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x001459171ad629c285e915ca8c18ccafa7893ddd028116c9724adbc62eead534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 13c | 15,031$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 11c | 8,518$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.62 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 11c | 7,180$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.6 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 7c | 6,204$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 14c | 6,146$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.58 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…c13ebacked Yes | 19c | 5,989$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 8c | 5,272$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.34 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 15c | 3,939$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.89 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 16c | 3,814$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.24 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 5c | 3,555$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 15c | 3,379$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.31 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 3,050$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.9 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb998…d9b2backed Yes | 17c | 2,969$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 11c | 2,913$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.16 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 13c | 2,895$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.69 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…1af8backed Yes | 11c | 2,660$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 18c | 2,648$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.67 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,913$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,905$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.67 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 9c | 1,886$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.69 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 1c | 1,840$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 19c | 1,713$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.47 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 18c | 1,297$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.46 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 7c | 1,130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 8c | 916.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes | 18c | 808.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 9c | 751.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 16c | 691.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…cda9backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed Yes | 17c | 599.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 589.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes | 17c | 587.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…70bdbacked Yes | 18c | 570.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 15c | 524.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…8e2dbacked Yes | 16c | 507.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…fd58backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes | 4c | 460$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 15c | 450$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 17c | 448.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +398.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 18c | 448$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes | 18c | 442.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…08c5backed Yes | 18c | 383.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…cf55backed Yes | 18c | 320$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…e86abacked Yes | 15c | 317.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 13c | 309.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545a…fbb9backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 8c | 296.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Yes | 18c | 281$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes | 17c | 276.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2c…ecd3backed Yes | 11c | 241.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 13c | 210$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 16c | 201.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…8b1abacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb019…a193backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…7acdbacked Yes | 10c | 199.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f2…f6c4backed Yes | 19c | 194.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…57d5backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…1237backed Yes | 18c | 183.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb63…5241backed Yes | 17c | 180.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…8489backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…8fc7backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…8e1abacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…7accbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ea…9112backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…d3eebacked Yes | 13c | 130.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…a2aebacked Yes | 13c | 125.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…6b4fbacked Yes | 16c | 124.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…3cc0backed Yes | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Yes | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…e0b2backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca26…7f5dbacked Yes | 16c | 116.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…47e5backed Yes | 18c | 111.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb6…3dd9backed Yes | 18c | 111.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…49d2backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…4c02backed Yes | 18c | 110.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…4e97backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b3…2a31backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…0826backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b8…ff77backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…1039backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 16c | 99.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94e…b174backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.