TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb663…bedf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.28
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.49
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$513.54
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.57
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+710.9%+$448.97
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.48
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.56
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.7
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.13
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.2
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.08
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.08
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+351.3%+$1,718.71
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+86.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$25.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+163.2%+$47.74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$24.13
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+815.2%+$668.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$67.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$90.15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.18
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$116.48
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.15
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$104
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.06
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+257.1%+$139.68
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$42.12
Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.6
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+137.9%+$117.97
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+203%+$117.76
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.87
Argentina Open: Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54.44
ASB Classic: Marcos Giron vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+191.4%+$191.39
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70.6
ASB Classic, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35
ASB Classic, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40.92
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-72%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+132.6%+$128.25
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+110.8%+$82.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+50.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 9z Team vs ALT F4 (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+68.5%+$41.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.