TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2379…bf16backed Over58c46,479$26,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,865.091662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c36,939$17,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,473.214,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c13,205$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,305.253,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under42c12,584$5,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,242.731457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under42c7,552$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,380.3724145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over58c5,172$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007347.9%35 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over57c3,365$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.242373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c2,317$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.692,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over59c2,118$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.995735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under45c1,995$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.2653246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Over57c1,740$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.86764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over58c1,725$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.53461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over57c1,574$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.511,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4952748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under42c1,399$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.387753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over34c1,383$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.255145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over30c1,000$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.073724.3%9 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over50c941.66$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.832548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under42c874$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Over58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4565058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under71c636.87$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c629.7$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.981,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over57c596.49$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c3…116abacked Over54c536.39$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under42c505.83$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2220452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f37…acacbacked Over44c450.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+81.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over53c411.32$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2181442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over22c363.77$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x174b…7a05backed Over57c357.86$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Over59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaffc…fab4backed Over29c290$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.11216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over20c223$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.237039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Over57c209.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012344.7%55 W · 68 L-11.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220845.2%94 W · 114 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11442458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under42c194.79$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c190.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Over56c179.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.794843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over23c178$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0957252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Over25c142.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under43c140.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.717455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over18c135.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1783…7180backed Over16c132.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.82828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over57c112$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8421626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over24c107.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3383640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over29c101.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.612044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over38c94.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.859161.5%56 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Over53c94.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over58c87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.462157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over50c72.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0433949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under51c71.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0615443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7279…a05cbacked Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Under43c65.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9824…6572backed Over59c63.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.75366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over54c55.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.513052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69d2…bc89backed Over59c49.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.161560%9 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b32…d6a8backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under42c42.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8616446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab50…6e96backed Over59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab0f…9900backed Over59c40.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209622.9%22 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under44c36.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.636144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over28c36.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.192240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2104…3f75backed Over44c36.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over57c35.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over52c34.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over38c32.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.491,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under43c31.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.927850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under49c30.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x492f…bc51backed Over64c25.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.143568.6%24 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Under43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1510248%49 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under50c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af2…8f5ebacked Over58c22.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.971675%12 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a13…8629backed Over48c21.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over57c21.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Over53c20.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.053366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.